World Politics · resolved market
Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06dcf640b5f29035442dfa0472b72a641df54b1e99e186368f3c6b16ecab3913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,348,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,552,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,348,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7702…9791backed Yes | 56c | 278,633$157,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,217.8 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…8741backed No | 39c | 239,876$93,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,407.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173c…bf6fbacked No | 48c | 229,866$110,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,559.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…b737backed Yes | 56c | 187,324$105,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,859.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…f3b6backed Yes | 59c | 148,344$87,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,328.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…ab0ebacked Yes | 56c | 139,021$78,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,720.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…d286backed Yes | 48c | 121,571$58,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,700.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…4d4dbacked Yes | 63c | 92,058$58,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,008.92 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…cbafbacked Yes | 63c | 70,097$44,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,674.24 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8861…eed6backed Yes | 61c | 50,000$30,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,505.22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…b5b3backed Yes | 65c | 42,797$27,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,996.8 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 62c | 37,521$23,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,348 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…3bbdbacked Yes | 69c | 36,328$24,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,417.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab5…ba4abacked No | 32c | 36,209$11,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,623.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5e…7f28backed Yes | 60c | 36,109$21,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,291.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed No | 49c | 35,545$17,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,464.29 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed No | 43c | 31,114$13,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,387.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x539f…a41fbacked No | 52c | 28,984$14,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,989.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed No | 68c | 28,098$19,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,002.9 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 49c | 27,598$13,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,410 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…09febacked No | 42c | 26,921$11,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,406.36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…fdddbacked Yes | 58c | 26,897$15,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,197.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…63f9backed No | 46c | 26,329$12,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,168.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 51c | 23,651$12,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,110.05 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 31c | 21,407$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,740.73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 51c | 20,094$10,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,839.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 63c | 19,693$12,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,351.24 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…7921backed Yes | 55c | 19,289$10,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,587.04 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes | 60c | 18,986$11,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,503.59 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…dc66backed Yes | 69c | 18,973$13,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,844.34 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed Yes | 53c | 18,457$9,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,720.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed No | 7c | 18,178$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.84 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 60c | 17,717$10,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…7a8fbacked No | 58c | 16,834$9,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,807.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…9558backed Yes | 57c | 16,235$9,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,042.14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…1671backed No | 49c | 15,852$7,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,732.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…43efbacked No | 50c | 15,835$7,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,895.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe316…c49fbacked No | 50c | 15,647$7,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,865.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ae…7adbbacked No | 32c | 14,687$4,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,735.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…d463backed Yes | 52c | 12,690$6,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,126.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832f…ef80backed Yes | 48c | 12,532$6,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.98 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 59c | 12,425$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,075.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…3f29backed No | 35c | 11,552$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c21…d2febacked Yes | 45c | 11,497$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,370.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…18a9backed No | 55c | 11,491$6,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,295.66 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c62…5d44backed Yes | 56c | 11,324$6,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,973.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…16d4backed Yes | 57c | 11,129$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…bfebbacked Yes | 59c | 10,763$6,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…f088backed No | 35c | 10,559$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…eba6backed No | 40c | 9,910$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,011.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…a91cbacked No | 48c | 9,398$4,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,536.26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…6a0fbacked No | 41c | 9,307$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 69c | 9,030$6,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked No | 32c | 8,776$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,827.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 43c | 8,486$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 53c | 8,262$4,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.47 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…0722backed No | 40c | 8,038$3,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,246.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…ae02backed No | 51c | 7,777$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed No | 36c | 7,753$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.19 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…c793backed No | 48c | 7,696$3,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,730.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x417a…9784backed Yes | 61c | 7,640$4,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…5553backed Yes | 61c | 7,491$4,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,921.67 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde81…d44bbacked No | 41c | 7,251$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008.32 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed Yes | 61c | 6,804$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,665.43 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked No | 36c | 6,691$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed No | 31c | 6,559$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed No | 40c | 6,449$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.64 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…1c53backed Yes | 65c | 5,666$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…351dbacked Yes | 65c | 5,601$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.41 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 40c | 5,489$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.85 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4e…37b3backed No | 48c | 5,478$2,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…c7e7backed Yes | 62c | 5,448$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 30c | 5,335$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…91e7backed No | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0583backed Yes | 60c | 4,833$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 55c | 4,760$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,158.47 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 37c | 4,453$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,787.61 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…204fbacked No | 39c | 4,281$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 51c | 4,155$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.59 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…9ca5backed No | 55c | 4,143$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…db01backed No | 41c | 4,077$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…37aebacked Yes | 61c | 4,067$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb73…370fbacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.65 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked Yes | 47c | 3,941$1,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…e5ddbacked No | 48c | 3,911$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.65 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…9840backed No | 38c | 3,821$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e6…b65fbacked Yes | 60c | 3,750$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed Yes | 77c | 3,677$2,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Yes | 58c | 3,674$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.89 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…c9c3backed No | 43c | 3,585$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yes | 61c | 3,544$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 54c | 3,500$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.21 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b0…6440backed Yes | 56c | 3,458$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.48 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed No | 31c | 3,400$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked No | 31c | 3,356$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…ad7fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,343$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…4a1abacked Yes | 52c | 3,264$1,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.81 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461a…4030backed Yes | 53c | 3,248$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.64 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked No | 49c | 3,188$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 62c | 3,163$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.58 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?this page
- Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.