World Politics · resolved market
Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa85c14232ef55745b1bcdcfe10fd55f628fcd8def33d4d112809b14d92cb8f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $891,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b8…5ec5backed Yes | 19c | 135,506$26,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,111.25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 15c | 112,090$16,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,996.65 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 13c | 59,177$7,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,826.32 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 15c | 26,276$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.98 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked Yes | 18c | 22,843$4,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 22,486$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.48 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 12c | 21,101$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.97 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…b5a8backed Yes | 15c | 20,140$2,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 12c | 19,976$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.74 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x448f…6037backed Yes | 18c | 18,409$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 13c | 16,942$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,188.36 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…c793backed Yes | 15c | 15,088$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…aaa1backed Yes | 14c | 11,761$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…4c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,211$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 11c | 10,015$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.81 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0f…6619backed Yes | 14c | 9,522$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…a167backed Yes | 14c | 9,196$1,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.97 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf63…5a4cbacked Yes | 12c | 9,110$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.82 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed Yes | 12c | 8,888$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…7ec1backed Yes | 16c | 7,962$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 19c | 7,477$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.06 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…63f9backed Yes | 18c | 7,046$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…9e1fbacked Yes | 14c | 7,030$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.47 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 9c | 6,886$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.06 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…f3e9backed Yes | 15c | 6,338$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes | 11c | 6,090$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…0722backed Yes | 12c | 6,000$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.53 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…1671backed Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ac…3e1ebacked Yes | 12c | 5,939$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.41 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -89%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…18a9backed Yes | 13c | 5,819$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…871dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,714$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa847…88a5backed Yes | 15c | 5,592$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.52 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -87%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…f088backed Yes | 13c | 5,535$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4750…db09backed Yes | 19c | 5,267$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…ae2abacked Yes | 10c | 4,684$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed Yes | 17c | 4,610$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.29 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3668…ae02backed Yes | 19c | 4,472$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…92e8backed Yes | 21c | 4,446$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,441$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.51 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…9ca5backed Yes | 12c | 4,380$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…e2cfbacked Yes | 17c | 4,205$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Yes | 37c | 4,193$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 14c | 3,652$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.14 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…9446backed Yes | 9c | 3,632$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,412$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.02 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1859…fc9cbacked Yes | 14c | 3,350$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…4227backed Yes | 15c | 3,256$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266c…7afdbacked Yes | 16c | 3,109$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 12c | 3,032$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.67 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…fb6dbacked Yes | 17c | 3,000$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81af…d586backed Yes | 13c | 2,986$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 17c | 2,909$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae97…7eabbacked Yes | 11c | 2,829$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 12c | 2,800$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bda…80aabacked Yes | 11c | 2,671$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaba…5f5ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,666$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ab…c76ebacked Yes | 24c | 2,595$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…e36ebacked Yes | 14c | 2,500$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3df3backed Yes | 11c | 2,437$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…238dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,422$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67c…9325backed Yes | 33c | 2,413$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…c2f5backed Yes | 19c | 2,309$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…155ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,209$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.66 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…28fbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,085$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…9e60backed Yes | 16c | 2,062$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…cc54backed Yes | 13c | 2,060$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…5022backed Yes | 15c | 2,017$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 8c | 2,005$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.88 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…36eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,983$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 40c | 1,980$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.19 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +29.2wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8951…43efbacked Yes | 10c | 1,943$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 1,905$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.44 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Yes | 18c | 1,898$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…ecc4backed Yes | 15c | 1,855$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…1017backed Yes | 17c | 1,777$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Yes | 15c | 1,770$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 10c | 1,749$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c8…3d81backed Yes | 1c | 1,702$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…a6b7backed Yes | 20c | 1,686$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…f37abacked Yes | 20c | 1,666$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0579…035dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,635$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2870…a560backed Yes | 20c | 1,612$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 15c | 1,578$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…66a7backed Yes | 18c | 1,528$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Yes | 13c | 1,502$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…09febacked Yes | 9c | 1,500$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde81…d44bbacked Yes | 14c | 1,471$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bdd0backed Yes | 17c | 1,455$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…c448backed Yes | 16c | 1,377$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…c2ddbacked Yes | 14c | 1,349$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9838…204fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,253$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…2f0bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,224$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…4eabbacked Yes | 16c | 1,216$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.93 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +263.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…1579backed Yes | 15c | 1,130$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6f02backed Yes | 15c | 1,086$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 12c | 1,085$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.52 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…4d34backed Yes | 3c | 1,053$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…cebebacked Yes | 10c | 1,013$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…818dbacked Yes | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?this page
- Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?Yes won
- Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.