World Politics · resolved market
Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb96e1ba49d01585ad05633f2af925921c1edc0a93c11b739e501c53590cda2f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $831,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $598,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $831,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 250 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 16c | 67,051$10,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,940.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…5e2fbacked Yes | 6c | 65,911$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 6c | 53,723$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +194.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 23c | 50,000$11,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,266.92 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Yes | 14c | 24,851$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.64 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…45d5backed Yes | 23c | 23,007$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.38 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -87.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 24c | 20,000$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,874.87 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 79c | 19,727$15,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,189.81 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 25c | 18,480$4,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed Yes | 27c | 17,083$4,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,611.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 19c | 16,329$3,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.71 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3d…76ddbacked Yes | 19c | 11,347$2,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,189.48 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 18c | 10,468$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.18 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ab…c793backed Yes | 21c | 9,091$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,866.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 16c | 9,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 21c | 8,734$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.17 | 180 | 36.7%66 W · 114 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…9863backed Yes | 15c | 8,503$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.46 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked Yes | 25c | 8,329$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.07 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 18c | 8,258$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Yes | 19c | 8,036$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…a2d2backed Yes | 23c | 7,348$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.67 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 13cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…41a1backed Yes | 22c | 7,000$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a95…6a76backed Yes | 20c | 6,731$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d18…3dc7backed Yes | 3c | 6,372$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 21c | 6,219$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.02 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 14c | 5,763$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.89 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dab…4211backed Yes | 19c | 5,643$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…abf8backed Yes | 7c | 5,622$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6130…144abacked Yes | 19c | 5,146$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 14c | 5,000$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…73a1backed Yes | 22c | 4,627$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…9ca5backed Yes | 25c | 4,447$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305d…54afbacked Yes | 20c | 4,351$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.85 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 22c | 4,277$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.68 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 14c | 4,174$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.3 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…6318backed Yes | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…b737backed Yes | 22c | 3,937$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 20c | 3,806$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.82 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc889…0819backed Yes | 10c | 3,678$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…b707backed Yes | 17c | 3,525$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.17 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 19c | 3,273$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.06 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…ae2abacked Yes | 14c | 3,266$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd80…7e2cbacked Yes | 20c | 3,178$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…8846backed Yes | 22c | 3,156$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1f…9446backed Yes | 18c | 3,023$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.55 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…fb6dbacked Yes | 22c | 3,004$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1077…0722backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.6 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 22c | 2,808$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.7 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b6dcbacked Yes | 26c | 2,590$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…4a37backed Yes | 25c | 2,571$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 10c | 2,545$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Yes | 16c | 2,429$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…7843backed Yes | 9c | 2,340$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 28c | 2,284$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa588…c2f5backed Yes | 20c | 2,281$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…92e8backed Yes | 32c | 2,167$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 23c | 2,009$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.85 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 18c | 2,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…1531backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…7430backed Yes | 10c | 1,990$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 25c | 1,966$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc1…a297backed Yes | 28c | 1,777$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c1…238dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,743$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Yes | 26c | 1,672$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…8800backed Yes | 18c | 1,665$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 17c | 1,618$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.67 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e8…6297backed Yes | 19c | 1,576$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 25c | 1,537$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…b979backed Yes | 15c | 1,494$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 25cpaid | +274.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…b548backed Yes | 25c | 1,480$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 29c | 1,406$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…10f3backed Yes | 22c | 1,348$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…e2cfbacked Yes | 19c | 1,344$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8d51backed Yes | 26c | 1,287$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2e31backed Yes | 12c | 1,218$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c58…c2ddbacked Yes | 27c | 1,216$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…c2ffbacked Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 14c | 1,166$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.54 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 26c | 1,164$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.36per pick | 28cpaid | +292.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…483abacked Yes | 26c | 1,162$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…7a8fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,109$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2279…d68dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,095$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,089$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…53babacked Yes | 4c | 1,050$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…b604backed Yes | 10c | 1,024$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bdd0backed Yes | 20c | 1,018$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 27c | 1,010$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.05 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6f02backed Yes | 20c | 1,008$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919a…23b4backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +206.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…18a9backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…e945backed Yes | 21c | 998$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487c…7795backed Yes | 25c | 988.35$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.47 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…f37abacked Yes | 21c | 971.6$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8832…5022backed Yes | 25c | 958$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3629…a105backed Yes | 25c | 948.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 5-6 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?this page
- Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 3-4 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
- Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?Yes won
- Will 9 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.