NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9e1d741001c041fdddf2982310d05332aa41af053d9bed63ceac198a1a84ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Canadiens, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $403,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 908 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Capitals | 66c | 60,960$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,959.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…3174backed Capitals | 62c | 52,400$32,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,911.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…57b9backed Canadiens | 38c | 49,600$18,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,848 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 34c | 26,748$9,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,018.52 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 63c | 21,684$13,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,940.69 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 19,455$7,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,093.98 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Capitals | 68c | 16,000$10,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Canadiens | 32c | 15,290$4,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,884.18 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 10,736$3,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.38 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Canadiens | 6c | 10,038$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.54 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Canadiens | 35c | 9,990$3,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.33 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Canadiens | 37c | 9,960$3,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.33 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 9,610$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.7 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Capitals | 63c | 4,282$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Capitals | 62c | 3,519$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.82 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Capitals | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Capitals | 73c | 3,040$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.47 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Canadiens | 0c | 3,026$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a27…b9ddbacked Capitals | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b3cebacked Canadiens | 36c | 2,988$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebf…874dbacked Canadiens | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…0d7cbacked Canadiens | 38c | 2,777$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.98 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 36c | 2,566$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.21 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7a…4226backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,553$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Capitals | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Canadiens | 42c | 2,406$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 16c | 2,175$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.31 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Canadiens | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 63c | 2,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…2b88backed Capitals | 64c | 1,950$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Capitals | 67c | 1,922$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.77 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,891$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.2 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 30c | 1,870$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…6228backed Capitals | 62c | 1,805$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…52e2backed Capitals | 62c | 1,789$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,768$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.95 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4912backed Canadiens | 36c | 1,750$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…744dbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,736$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a23…4e9fbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,733$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.43 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Capitals | 63c | 1,575$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.26 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 76c | 1,553$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.53 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 34c | 1,485$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.09 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.65 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.16 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Canadiens | 39c | 1,298$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals | 62c | 1,270$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.44 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens | 35c | 1,263$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.46 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…baecbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Capitals | 62c | 1,214$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.16 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,106$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.91 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aee…6760backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,057$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.01 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Canadiens | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Canadiens | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Canadiens | 36c | 999.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 63c | 981.93$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.08 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Canadiens | 37c | 928.84$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.67 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Capitals | 62c | 923.81$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Capitals | 64c | 900$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.91 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…49a2backed Canadiens | 38c | 873.68$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…7372backed Capitals | 62c | 872.58$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Capitals | 63c | 857.52$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7a…8b82backed Canadiens | 37c | 810.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4874…7123backed Canadiens | 38c | 805.86$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.23 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1c…2b46backed Capitals | 62c | 804.84$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.84 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Capitals | 62c | 799.95$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.98 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Canadiens | 19c | 783.14$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.02 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…c079backed Capitals | 62c | 772.55$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.57 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea11…551abacked Canadiens | 38c | 772.55$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.57 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 65c | 746.15$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Capitals | 62c | 732.23$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…4ab1backed Canadiens | 38c | 732.23$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Capitals | 62c | 724.13$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.17 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Canadiens | 38c | 724.13$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Canadiens | 38c | 720$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Capitals | 62c | 720$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Canadiens | 30c | 711.52$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Capitals | 62c | 705.19$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.97 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 63c | 693.5$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.94 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…b744backed Capitals | 63c | 565.08$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…7479backed Canadiens | 39c | 538.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Canadiens | 38c | 536.84$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Capitals | 60c | 523.39$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.59 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 59c | 513.27$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.44 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Canadiens | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Canadiens | 38c | 463.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 63c | 444$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 28c | 436.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…14cabacked Capitals | 63c | 434.92$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 62c | 400.01$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.46 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Capitals | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Canadiens | 12c | 400$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Capitals | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe958…36b1backed Capitals | 77c | 373.95$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Canadiens | 11c | 350$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172b…e2cdbacked Capitals | 63c | 325.59$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Capitals | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.