TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flamesof Sharks, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,684
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,684 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf730…3de2backed Flames68c4,395$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.175470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Flames73c3,380$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.331,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Sharks26c3,074$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8377…4198backed Sharks32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9603271.9%23 W · 9 L+6.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Sharks20c2,036$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Flames68c2,034$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.813754%74 W · 63 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Sharks30c1,963$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5895534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa068…9574backed Flames68c1,899$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.976946.4%32 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks26c1,730$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7837738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Sharks28c1,563$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.6431753.9%171 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Flames74c1,539$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.2283652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames80c1,493$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.6892848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Flames73c1,475$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.531546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Sharks35c1,400$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.9613348.1%64 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aee…6760backed Flames75c1,332$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.93911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.40per pick51cpaid-85.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5f4d…275cbacked Sharks2c1,211$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1e…d204backed Sharks25c1,155$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.81973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.22per pick52cpaid+40%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks24c1,027$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.021,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Flames74c992.14$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.9649351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Flames75c959$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.758959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e2…721bbacked Flames74c949.98$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.991283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+43.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd33b…4e00backed Sharks27c940.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015246.7%71 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Sharks25c863.1$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7825552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks20c856.43$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.973,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Flames79c750$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16027958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks25c731.98$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18397651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Flames75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17537254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Flames74c689.19$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1921750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5dc…0bc1backed Flames75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x232f…a5afbacked Flames75c547.07$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Sharks27c544.05$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8929748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Flames68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16010127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75aa…58f1backed Flames68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.182544%11 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks26c436.48$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11454418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b4…f541backed Sharks16c432.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa346…738fbacked Flames73c410.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.853638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Sharks25c369$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2510627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Sharks26c336.48$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0684051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8896…7d78backed Flames75c267.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.957071.4%50 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Flames75c247.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa840…c812backed Sharks35c244.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c39…458dbacked Sharks27c210.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-53.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Flames73c207.81$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Sharks16c204.42$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2838744.2%171 W · 216 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Sharks20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4058467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Flames80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Flames74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Sharks25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Flames74c194.72$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.632369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Sharks27c191.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.228440.1%114 W · 170 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ed0…77f7backed Sharks25c179$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.754438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97fa…f7a6backed Flames68c168$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.12966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Sharks27c155.35$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.948932.6%29 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Sharks12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814012.9%18 W · 122 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36db…9fd7backed Flames74c149.99$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3911751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Sharks35c146.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.810638.7%41 W · 65 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks34c144.22$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.71,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f8…5436backed Sharks27c137.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.081060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Flames74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.141,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…6e81backed Sharks27c133.44$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.031163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Sharks22c133.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d92…a53bbacked Flames75c120$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7287…46d0backed Flames75c104.37$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Flames74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2635154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Flames68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3210147.5%48 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31d2…c25dbacked Flames76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Sharks20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027643.5%120 W · 156 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…415ebacked Sharks25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515730.6%48 W · 109 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1024…8fd1backed Sharks26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd8c…5c74backed Sharks27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Sharks27c92.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f03…b69abacked Sharks31c90.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.267516%12 W · 63 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aab…b038backed Flames76c80.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Sharks25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2076450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eca…4bc9backed Sharks25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24ab…c382backed Flames75c78.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f18…77c9backed Sharks15c77.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.574050%20 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0a6…58b3backed Sharks26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Flames67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.634463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f87…7fddbacked Sharks27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Sharks27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Sharks25c74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.530549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd025…1c54backed Flames74c73.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.841250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9944…86cdbacked Flames75c71.81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.95366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…1bd2backed Flames67c71.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.63243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9da…3eaabacked Flames74c71.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+45.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5b…db92backed Flames80c68.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8837…6b34backed Flames80c68.44$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flames74c67.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.571,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Flames75c66.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.929755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…0a26backed Flames75c66.77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaa…6babbacked Flames74c66.34$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.25633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9187…ae44backed Flames75c66.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Flames76c62.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1597955.5%543 W · 436 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Flames75c61$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2539757.2%227 W · 170 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Flames60c58.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.457634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x44d9…ef84backed Sharks26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b04…7e6abacked Sharks26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153938.5%15 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Sharks33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58720.7%18 W · 69 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.