NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1939a950968da2132e19bfbdcd689bdaf5994c930d82003fa1cdb37172fff6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $785,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $946,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $785,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 286 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Pacers | 80c | 123,254$98,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,989.06 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Cavaliers | 23c | 57,693$13,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,364.2 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked Cavaliers | 20c | 52,726$10,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,556.91 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Cavaliers | 20c | 50,774$10,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,362.47 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cavaliers | 22c | 20,172$4,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,517.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 80c | 20,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pacers | 66c | 12,902$8,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,362.23 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers | 66c | 12,368$8,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,229.23 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pacers | 77c | 11,261$8,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.8 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Cavaliers | 23c | 10,690$2,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.69 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 9,073$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.62 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pacers | 70c | 8,848$6,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,654.45 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 32c | 8,599$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.68 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Cavaliers | 20c | 7,153$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Cavaliers | 20c | 6,788$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.13 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pacers | 74c | 6,566$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.49 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Cavaliers | 35c | 6,318$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pacers | 79c | 5,822$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.62 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Cavaliers | 18c | 5,714$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pacers | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pacers | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.97 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cavaliers | 35c | 4,848$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.75 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pacers | 73c | 4,673$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.54 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers | 79c | 4,600$3,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cavaliers | 20c | 4,264$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.85 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Cavaliers | 21c | 4,200$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.99 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers | 40c | 4,147$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.55 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pacers | 77c | 4,116$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.6 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 4,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Pacers | 80c | 3,998$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.55 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers | 26c | 3,954$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.83 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…97bebacked Cavaliers | 20c | 3,500$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Cavaliers | 21c | 3,227$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.64 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Cavaliers | 51c | 3,100$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Cavaliers | 34c | 3,015$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pacers | 79c | 2,731$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.52 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers | 69c | 2,559$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.73 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pacers | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 46c | 2,415$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.3 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Pacers | 75c | 2,238$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.78 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Cavaliers | 24c | 2,117$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Cavaliers | 24c | 2,076$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.06 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Cavaliers | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Pacers | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Cavaliers | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 32c | 2,000$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.09 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…b2a6backed Cavaliers | 32c | 1,707$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801d…d8e0backed Cavaliers | 22c | 1,700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers | 29c | 1,592$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Cavaliers | 30c | 1,523$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers | 78c | 1,500$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pacers | 76c | 1,438$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.53 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked Pacers | 76c | 1,420$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Pacers | 78c | 1,244$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Cavaliers | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Pacers | 78c | 1,186$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.01 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Pacers | 74c | 1,096$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 1,069$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Cavaliers | 22c | 1,055$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Pacers | 78c | 1,055$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Cavaliers | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Pacers | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavaliers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…c2ffbacked Cavaliers | 41c | 1,000$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…232bbacked Cavaliers | 25c | 990$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pacers | 78c | 961.84$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pacers | 79c | 954.41$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Cavaliers | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Cavaliers | 23c | 949.48$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Pacers | 57c | 800$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Cavaliers | 23c | 750$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 700$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Cavaliers | 56c | 680.96$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.96 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Cavaliers | 25c | 651.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.99 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Pacers | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pacers | 78c | 641.02$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.02 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…1712backed Pacers | 78c | 638.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Cavaliers | 27c | 628.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Cavaliers | 34c | 600$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.9 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pacers | 77c | 600$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Pacers | 77c | 599.98$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Cavaliers | 38c | 597.26$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cavaliers | 31c | 588.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Cavaliers | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Pacers | 61c | 537.39$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pacers | 78c | 522.5$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.2 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Cavaliers | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Cavaliers | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Cavaliers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Pacers | 77c | 499.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Cavaliers | 22c | 499.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers | 3c | 487$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Cavaliers | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…12b7backed Cavaliers | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890d…f10cbacked Cavaliers | 22c | 454.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…0d4fbacked Cavaliers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Cavaliers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.