TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Wild, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$470,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$519,206

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 688 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe32e…890bbacked Wild34c151,493$51,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,044.6936242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Wild33c58,322$19,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,232.0910745.8%49 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Wild33c54,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,00016645.8%76 W · 90 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Golden Knights68c47,079$31,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,262.3331546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Golden Knights72c44,691$31,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,724.3911441.2%47 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Golden Knights65c30,000$19,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50013845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights77c28,785$22,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,626.5244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Golden Knights66c21,873$14,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,436.731957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Golden Knights68c16,435$11,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,280.3527958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Golden Knights67c15,286$10,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.2311354%61 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…25b0backed Golden Knights70c14,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2001080%8 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Golden Knights66c13,769$9,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.35164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae36…8fb5backed Wild30c13,284$3,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,985.32853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights65c10,100$6,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.8992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5be…7c6ebacked Golden Knights78c7,427$5,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,618.43771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f63…4fddbacked Golden Knights67c6,685$4,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,206.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+43.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Golden Knights65c6,189$4,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.027361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8776…3589backed Wild17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Wild28c4,469$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.7937738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Golden Knights66c4,468$2,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.3884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Golden Knights70c4,464$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.4626344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Golden Knights64c4,443$2,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.51,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights65c4,414$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.0749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Golden Knights66c3,663$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.921,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Wild32c3,401$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.857549.3%37 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a8…4673backed Golden Knights69c3,187$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9825100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+72.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights69c3,066$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5437254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Golden Knights65c3,000$1,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0448854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Wild31c3,000$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.9120751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Golden Knights67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.075470.4%38 W · 16 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Wild5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510127.7%28 W · 73 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Golden Knights69c2,485$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.232748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Golden Knights65c2,442$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.6735349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a1…303bbacked Golden Knights70c2,429$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Wild26c2,428$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.768350.6%42 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Wild28c2,247$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.613,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights66c2,147$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.11,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Wild1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021620.4%44 W · 172 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Wild33c1,700$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.8326547.5%126 W · 139 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Wild18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005334%18 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4615261.8%94 W · 58 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Golden Knights67c1,525$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.6719848.5%96 W · 102 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffec…7a8bbacked Golden Knights69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Golden Knights71c1,362$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.055754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3097…a2cabacked Wild17c1,298$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Wild32c1,234$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.734143.9%18 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Golden Knights75c1,212$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30342751.1%218 W · 209 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Golden Knights67c1,194$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.0272847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights67c1,192$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.3679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…3d95backed Golden Knights69c1,157$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.061643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5a7…7479backed Wild25c1,144$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Golden Knights68c1,111$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.5250857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f84…560fbacked Golden Knights69c1,087$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.964856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wild31c1,078$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.551,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Golden Knights67c1,050$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.575155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Golden Knights65c1,039$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.6121750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights76c967$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.841,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Wild31c907.25$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.251,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Golden Knights69c859.04$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.38959.6%53 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd323…9e96backed Golden Knights72c835.65$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Wild1c810.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221016.9%7 W · 94 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40b3…6159backed Golden Knights66c750$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2558870.5%62 W · 26 L+9.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Golden Knights65c605$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.257644.7%34 W · 42 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Golden Knights68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19225555.3%141 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Golden Knights66c570$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.14841.7%20 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Wild36c529$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4410739.3%42 W · 65 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Wild34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17014844.6%66 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x321f…7f25backed Wild20c498$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-73.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xce02…f887backed Golden Knights68c453.9$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.166956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Golden Knights72c419.48$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.4818144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Wild33c383.96$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7110627.4%29 W · 77 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc633…b4e7backed Wild34c350.71$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Wild6c349.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb608…ebdfbacked Wild14c334.71$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.25820.7%12 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Wild32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Golden Knights65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6912556.8%71 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Golden Knights69c304.78$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7811157.7%64 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Wild17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0191334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights64c299.98$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…b5cbbacked Golden Knights69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.863360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3498…1533backed Wild11c275$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.23959%23 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5ac1…2d6ebacked Wild36c267.25$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.212853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa346…738fbacked Wild4c247.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.043638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Golden Knights68c237.21$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9129748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Golden Knights66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21cf…a38ebacked Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdbe…fbe3backed Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbd5…a72abacked Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682548%12 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf129…ed65backed Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0669…8717backed Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683250%16 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef2…95adbacked Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a7…b4c8backed Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…9abcbacked Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682250%11 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25a5…81f4backed Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfcd…7ec6backed Golden Knights66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683644.4%16 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28d5…7f11backed Wild34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x133d…0559backed Golden Knights66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.