NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f9b316c56c52ae64a0b22aaef9abad9ae18317cb4c40df77bfc2faca6d53ad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,552,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,714,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,552,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 542 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Pistons | 30c | 333,333$100,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,332.97 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Knicks | 70c | 120,000$84,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,599.81 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Knicks | 70c | 110,054$76,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,610.44 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Pistons | 30c | 94,328$28,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,027.57 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Knicks | 38c | 87,154$33,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,432.64 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Knicks | 70c | 77,946$54,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,557.11 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Knicks | 70c | 71,309$49,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,916.16 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Knicks | 71c | 70,379$49,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,968.81 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pistons | 29c | 68,888$19,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,910.44 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Knicks | 32c | 35,151$11,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,083.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pistons | 29c | 33,832$9,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,020.71 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Knicks | 54c | 32,851$17,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,792.47 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Knicks | 71c | 29,200$20,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,609.96 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pistons | 66c | 26,515$17,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,035.51 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Knicks | 70c | 24,722$17,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,238.38 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 70c | 22,822$16,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,003.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Knicks | 30c | 22,098$6,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,707.09 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Pistons | 31c | 19,322$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,332 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Pistons | 42c | 17,200$7,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,952.47 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Pistons | 36c | 16,210$5,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,297.81 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pistons | 54c | 14,527$7,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,615.11 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Knicks | 64c | 13,778$8,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,778.53 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Pistons | 43c | 13,402$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,624.73 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pistons | 33c | 12,767$4,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,568.66 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Pistons | 63c | 11,954$7,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,469.07 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Pistons | 71c | 10,886$7,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,131.37 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks | 70c | 9,505$6,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,682.43 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Knicks | 36c | 9,066$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.1 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Pistons | 30c | 9,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Knicks | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed Knicks | 52c | 7,661$3,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,973.57 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 34c | 6,972$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.59 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Knicks | 55c | 6,337$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Knicks | 70c | 5,526$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.45 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Knicks | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Knicks | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Knicks | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Knicks | 58c | 4,540$2,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,651.41 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Pistons | 77c | 4,375$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Knicks | 37c | 4,350$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons | 29c | 3,803$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.7 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons | 60c | 3,800$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Knicks | 54c | 3,761$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.51 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…4fddbacked Knicks | 71c | 3,579$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Knicks | 70c | 3,500$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Pistons | 44c | 3,500$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.9 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Pistons | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.33 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 70c | 3,226$2,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.95 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6658…bd36backed Pistons | 31c | 3,226$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Knicks | 3c | 3,079$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Knicks | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Knicks | 70c | 2,793$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.49 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 66c | 2,769$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.69 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons | 39c | 2,682$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.21 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Pistons | 30c | 2,645$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.27 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Knicks | 31c | 2,473$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.82 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Pistons | 29c | 2,402$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.67 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Pistons | 31c | 2,303$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.23 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…f8e8backed Knicks | 49c | 2,256$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Knicks | 67c | 2,223$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Knicks | 70c | 2,151$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.7 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Knicks | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Pistons | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Knicks | 70c | 1,979$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.1 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…56ccbacked Knicks | 71c | 1,975$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Knicks | 8c | 1,859$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pistons | 32c | 1,794$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.97 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…4a7fbacked Pistons | 30c | 1,640$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks | 70c | 1,626$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.37 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Knicks | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Pistons | 43c | 1,574$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.76 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pistons | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pistons | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Knicks | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Knicks | 62c | 1,338$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.24 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Pistons | 49c | 1,321$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.67 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Knicks | 34c | 1,315$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Knicks | 25c | 1,300$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 32c | 1,234$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.91 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Pistons | 66c | 1,212$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.12 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pistons | 29c | 1,200$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.89 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 48c | 1,139$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Pistons | 31c | 1,074$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.19 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…6faebacked Pistons | 68c | 1,051$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Knicks | 2c | 1,037$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b0…da9abacked Knicks | 55c | 1,033$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Pistons | 45c | 1,033$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.62 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Knicks | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Knicks | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Pistons | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Knicks | 67c | 990$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.5 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Knicks | 69c | 988$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.12 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Knicks | 69c | 985.99$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.33 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Knicks | 64c | 930$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.8 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 30c | 905.15$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.81 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Knicks | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Knicks | 70c | 886.77$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.87 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.