TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,418,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,509,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,418,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xae36…8fb5backed Cavaliers8c384,808$32,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,217.0910357.3%59 W · 44 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6790…5e06backed Pacers24c181,573$43,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138,195.797335.6%26 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Pacers23c82,228$19,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,056.2746426.1%121 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Pacers36c64,143$22,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,207.432240.9%9 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Cavaliers52c54,761$28,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,487.8410926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6b…68eebacked Cavaliers76c53,217$40,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,444.831735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…81e0backed Cavaliers77c50,000$38,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,499.992369.6%16 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Cavaliers56c46,640$26,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,252.2448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Cavaliers72c44,893$32,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,336.1229957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pacers76c43,400$32,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,579.729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers79c41,279$32,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,570.6428347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Cavaliers76c39,842$30,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,221.226344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Cavaliers40c38,663$15,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,357.5923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Cavaliers78c38,352$29,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,914.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers23c31,068$7,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,922.647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cavaliers51c27,143$13,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,895.991,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers41c25,227$10,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,794.2122457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cavaliers76c25,000$19,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,999.9966853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2ae…2a5fbacked Cavaliers76c23,791$18,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,081.371540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Cavaliers76c22,385$17,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,079.6228341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06ee…ed7bbacked Pacers41c20,056$8,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,901.56933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers71c17,719$12,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,661.6313560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Pacers32c17,462$5,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,811.925536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Pacers48c16,297$7,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,551.7413248.5%64 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Pacers25c16,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,00026431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers36c12,067$4,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,665.771,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Cavaliers76c11,824$8,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,986.5411443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Pacers25c10,600$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.988536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Pacers37c10,254$3,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,464.1813731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf586…f614backed Cavaliers44c9,887$4,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,383.873243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-22.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Cavaliers63c9,540$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0003666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01f7…02dfbacked Pacers70c9,300$6,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,760.14837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers2c8,073$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.391,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Cavaliers53c8,059$4,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,241.8217256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cavaliers0c8,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.43350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…265cbacked Pacers76c7,770$5,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.694484.1%37 W · 7 L+9.7wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers75c7,632$5,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,735.5796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers25c7,550$1,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,687.51,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Pacers27c7,308$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,305.895261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers33c6,866$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,631.2447542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc814…dc7cbacked Cavaliers76c6,856$5,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.53540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers37c6,856$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.023,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers76c6,750$5,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,102.471,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Pacers24c6,428$1,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.9511049.1%54 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b7e…ce6dbacked Pacers75c6,038$4,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.143644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…6591backed Cavaliers46c6,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.843636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pacers27c5,083$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.3376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Cavaliers25c5,000$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2503036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pacers32c4,900$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,333.331,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Pacers72c4,456$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.414057.9%81 W · 59 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Cavaliers78c4,433$3,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,457.7466732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Cavaliers68c4,407$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008962.9%56 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd616…1106backed Pacers25c4,271$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.491338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Cavaliers76c4,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0407953.2%42 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…74e9backed Pacers27c3,974$1,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.32633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers37c3,924$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,464.1123342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers41c3,695$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,195.425536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Cavaliers58c3,583$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.0712040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Cavaliers55c3,559$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Pacers43c3,333$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.514034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers76c3,282$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,479.952,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Cavaliers51c3,214$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,626.7170640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Cavaliers72c3,199$2,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,298.4314161%86 W · 55 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Cavaliers71c3,044$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.586563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc172…a1cabacked Cavaliers77c3,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers2c2,820$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.218783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd656…d127backed Pacers24c2,775$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.221346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cavaliers77c2,692$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.8515551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9997…af3bbacked Pacers71c2,632$1,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.018259.8%49 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed Cavaliers76c2,630$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.88167.9%55 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers61c2,556$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.251,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Cavaliers68c2,500$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6205…7bbebacked Pacers24c2,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9001258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…fad6backed Cavaliers76c2,426$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.68862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Pacers25c2,400$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80031453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Cavaliers76c2,400$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82445348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Pacers24c2,361$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.028146.9%38 W · 43 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa82c…9b0cbacked Cavaliers69c2,350$1,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6976…03b1backed Pacers45c2,216$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.81771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick28cpaid+252.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb42d…3d11backed Pacers26c2,150$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,598.173636.1%13 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Cavaliers59c2,103$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.8553134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers44c2,094$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.9188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Pacers25c2,076$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.245736.8%21 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Cavaliers1c2,005$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.124423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers25c2,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50036843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Cavaliers56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12066153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a24…ea91backed Cavaliers75c2,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50040%0 W · 4 L-3.0wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Cavaliers76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5206747.8%32 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers36c1,947$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.985,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ba…d879backed Cavaliers54c1,936$1,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cavaliers1c1,930$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.215502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f63…4fddbacked Cavaliers76c1,908$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45050%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Pacers23c1,898$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.8133348.9%163 W · 170 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Cavaliers35c1,846$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.216230.6%19 W · 43 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Pacers25c1,821$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,365.8859140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers26c1,800$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46541227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cavaliers76c1,763$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers24c1,619$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.0614434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Pacers22c1,613$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.223545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Cavaliers76c1,612$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.1219149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.