NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Capitals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3049b197cef75cba92c94404cb4a3e0c48625c6757dadca33e717e71eb29750e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Capitalsof Canadiens, Capitals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $318,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Canadiens | 25c | 19,524$4,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,880.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Canadiens | 36c | 16,339$5,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,882.21 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 66c | 15,997$10,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,466.17 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 7c | 15,217$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.19 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Canadiens | 5c | 12,050$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Capitals | 79c | 10,870$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.88 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Capitals | 75c | 10,194$7,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.37 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Capitals | 75c | 10,040$7,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.4 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Canadiens | 2c | 10,039$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…52dabacked Capitals | 64c | 9,992$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,597.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdb…8eb1backed Canadiens | 36c | 9,991$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 35c | 9,454$3,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.77 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 65c | 6,735$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,358.31 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Canadiens | 28c | 6,599$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Capitals | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Capitals | 66c | 4,818$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.33 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a1…303bbacked Capitals | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Canadiens | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 63c | 3,839$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.22 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Capitals | 64c | 3,788$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.63 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 38c | 3,522$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.04 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 37c | 3,320$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.37 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Capitals | 62c | 3,000$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.92 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Canadiens | 23c | 2,936$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.15 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 74c | 2,861$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.66 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 28c | 2,675$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.55 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Canadiens | 13c | 2,616$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canadiens | 37c | 2,500$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.44 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Canadiens | 22c | 2,240$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42f4…2abbbacked Canadiens | 5c | 2,172$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Canadiens | 36c | 2,132$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.47 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 62c | 2,008$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.09 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Capitals | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Canadiens | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Capitals | 64c | 1,935$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 38c | 1,694$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.86 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Capitals | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Capitals | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Capitals | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Capitals | 74c | 1,500$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.5 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x970c…b40dbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Capitals | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,369$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Capitals | 63c | 1,349$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,342$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Canadiens | 20c | 1,245$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.11 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canadiens | 36c | 1,112$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.32 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Capitals | 65c | 1,096$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Canadiens | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9614…5247backed Canadiens | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Canadiens | 9c | 999.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Canadiens | 38c | 921.58$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Capitals | 62c | 819.97$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.59 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…bc10backed Canadiens | 12c | 809.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Canadiens | 36c | 718.83$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.97 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Canadiens | 13c | 665.7$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Canadiens | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Canadiens | 39c | 641$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Capitals | 64c | 636.91$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.29 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 63c | 628.98$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.72 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Capitals | 63c | 618.4$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Canadiens | 5c | 615.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Capitals | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Canadiens | 37c | 562.16$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Capitals | 64c | 556.25$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.25 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Capitals | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Canadiens | 15c | 552.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…2dfbbacked Capitals | 64c | 503.13$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 62c | 499.97$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Capitals | 65c | 491.89$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989d…464cbacked Capitals | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Capitals | 63c | 474.6$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…8c5bbacked Canadiens | 13c | 455.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Canadiens | 37c | 449.96$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Capitals | 63c | 449.87$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.45 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7727…366fbacked Canadiens | 37c | 437.84$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Capitals | 63c | 420.63$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.63 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…6b5fbacked Canadiens | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…88d6backed Capitals | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcada…698abacked Canadiens | 15c | 409.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…6604backed Canadiens | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bd…8e10backed Canadiens | 25c | 390.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…222bbacked Capitals | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…59a2backed Canadiens | 36c | 383.33$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…e4cabacked Canadiens | 5c | 339.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Capitals | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Canadiens | 8c | 304.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 65c | 302.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Capitals | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…c079backed Canadiens | 37c | 271.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…d8d3backed Canadiens | 28c | 265.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…a6afbacked Canadiens | 38c | 265.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…19bcbacked Canadiens | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd345…978abacked Canadiens | 38c | 259.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb33…6da4backed Canadiens | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens | 38c | 253.58$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Capitals | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Canadiens | 36c | 239.47$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.