NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f5ea8af642a92b9212473fe6459b0491b48fefbed5518c75770b11b11d32c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,196,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,307,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,196,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Magic | 31c | 49,309$15,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,209.54 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 37c | 47,295$17,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,889.31 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 65c | 41,083$26,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,554.56 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 39c | 36,842$14,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,501.52 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f54…99d8backed Magic | 39c | 33,835$13,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,639.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 34c | 32,570$11,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,515.77 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…7a01backed Magic | 39c | 31,830$12,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,416.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Celtics | 42c | 31,822$13,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,239.04 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Magic | 65c | 31,063$20,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,981.57 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…2313backed Celtics | 61c | 30,350$18,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,513.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 51c | 29,401$14,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,457.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…b3e9backed Celtics | 61c | 29,330$17,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,891.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 57c | 28,800$16,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,444.54 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Celtics | 57c | 28,503$16,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,275.26 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Magic | 40c | 27,133$10,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,295 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 62c | 25,289$15,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,787.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Celtics | 66c | 20,553$13,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,577.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Celtics | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 46c | 17,140$7,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,172.05 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Celtics | 63c | 16,792$10,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,578.82 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Celtics | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 37c | 14,197$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.99 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ed…a702backed Celtics | 67c | 14,150$9,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,480.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 33c | 13,511$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,091.47 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 34c | 12,636$4,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.33 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 67c | 11,825$7,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,973.03 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…6e4fbacked Magic | 33c | 11,800$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Magic | 38c | 11,601$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.33 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Magic | 16c | 10,000$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,430.99 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…9bffbacked Celtics | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…b00cbacked Celtics | 65c | 9,996$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4a…cb64backed Magic | 35c | 9,993$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…83f6backed Magic | 35c | 9,993$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,495.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked Celtics | 64c | 9,367$5,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994.78 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 40c | 9,022$3,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,409.67 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Celtics | 62c | 8,306$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,186.77 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Magic | 13c | 7,494$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.49 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 39c | 6,984$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.56 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…3873backed Celtics | 61c | 5,985$3,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 64c | 5,822$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.02 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 67c | 5,768$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.36 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Celtics | 62c | 5,546$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.52 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…dda8backed Celtics | 60c | 5,266$3,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Celtics | 65c | 5,205$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,383.35 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Celtics | 72c | 5,186$3,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,708.09 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2094…193cbacked Celtics | 25c | 5,085$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Celtics | 28c | 5,008$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.38 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf110…5724backed Magic | 38c | 5,000$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Celtics | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Celtics | 34c | 4,989$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.35 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 35c | 4,913$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186.86 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Celtics | 63c | 4,811$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Celtics | 65c | 4,800$3,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,105.94 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 63c | 4,781$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.34 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Magic | 37c | 4,750$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 33c | 4,500$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Celtics | 62c | 3,845$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.2 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4727…aa86backed Celtics | 63c | 3,755$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Celtics | 65c | 3,538$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.73 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Celtics | 65c | 3,290$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.49 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Magic | 38c | 3,101$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.6 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Celtics | 57c | 3,047$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.68 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Magic | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Celtics | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Celtics | 37c | 2,972$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.93 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Celtics | 74c | 2,792$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.58 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Celtics | 63c | 2,669$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.23 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…27e8backed Magic | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Magic | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 29c | 2,567$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.59 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 34c | 2,505$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.3 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1288…a806backed Celtics | 39c | 2,500$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08d…4ddbbacked Celtics | 64c | 2,367$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e8…b663backed Magic | 33c | 2,350$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 36c | 2,348$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.52 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…5fb3backed Magic | 36c | 2,318$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Celtics | 68c | 2,195$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Magic | 48c | 2,158$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.62 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…8714backed Celtics | 62c | 2,153$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Magic | 56c | 2,126$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.59 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dea…8128backed Magic | 36c | 2,090$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Magic | 31c | 2,069$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.54 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Celtics | 12c | 2,022$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c0…32f4backed Celtics | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 35c | 2,000$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.58 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 41c | 1,905$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Magic | 79c | 1,878$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Magic | 26c | 1,875$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.49 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Magic | 11c | 1,834$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.5 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Magic | 34c | 1,804$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.91 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Celtics | 69c | 1,711$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.69 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Celtics | 33c | 1,668$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.09 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Celtics | 60c | 1,666$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.8 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08eb…aaa8backed Celtics | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…7683backed Celtics | 60c | 1,665$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…f77ebacked Celtics | 30c | 1,664$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…45e8backed Celtics | 66c | 1,642$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.48 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Celtics | 64c | 1,634$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.99 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…3772backed Magic | 35c | 1,633$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.76 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.