NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x498af3ee6f4fe8babb9b4aa1877b8c88e3d1fd9a97e56b4c5f0122b8b274028d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Stars, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $287,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Stars | 43c | 48,875$20,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,991.4 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 62c | 46,579$29,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,508.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Stars | 28c | 30,634$8,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,666.41 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Avalanche | 66c | 15,948$10,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,446.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Avalanche | 57c | 14,117$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,053.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…9619backed Stars | 13c | 10,285$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 38c | 9,776$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.6 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 63c | 8,107$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.76 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Stars | 34c | 7,129$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.02 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Avalanche | 63c | 6,075$3,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.42 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,292$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.55 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Stars | 34c | 5,247$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.73 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Stars | 21c | 5,174$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.79 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Stars | 36c | 3,500$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 34c | 3,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Stars | 38c | 3,279$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Stars | 64c | 3,101$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Avalanche | 64c | 2,864$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Avalanche | 66c | 2,529$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.4 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Stars | 8c | 2,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Avalanche | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,867$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.51 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Avalanche | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Avalanche | 73c | 1,314$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.1 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…fad6backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,311$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Avalanche | 64c | 1,235$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.09 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,218$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Stars | 39c | 1,191$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Stars | 37c | 1,150$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed Stars | 37c | 1,140$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Stars | 41c | 1,057$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.88 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…5953backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,023$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Stars | 12c | 1,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Avalanche | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Stars | 35c | 999.98$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Stars | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 43c | 947$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.01 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Stars | 38c | 922.81$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.67 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Avalanche | 64c | 917$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.31 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Stars | 35c | 888$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8dacbacked Avalanche | 63c | 871.51$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Avalanche | 79c | 840$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Avalanche | 60c | 816.76$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.36 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x594f…392cbacked Avalanche | 62c | 812.19$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Avalanche | 64c | 808$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.88 | 427 | 51.1%218 W · 209 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Stars | 34c | 791$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.94 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe816…ff03backed Stars | 22c | 782.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Stars | 38c | 758.82$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7a…ae07backed Stars | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Stars | 42c | 697.24$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad5a…3782backed Avalanche | 65c | 692.31$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Avalanche | 60c | 621.86$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.74 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951b…3ad4backed Stars | 38c | 602.63$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…be92backed Stars | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…1ea9backed Stars | 38c | 597.37$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 62c | 520.76$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.32 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…5ac7backed Avalanche | 65c | 507.69$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Stars | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Avalanche | 62c | 439.81$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.13 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked Avalanche | 37c | 433.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +73%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Stars | 20c | 426.39$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…9ea7backed Stars | 36c | 406.89$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Avalanche | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…4d92backed Avalanche | 66c | 394.98$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 62c | 379.88$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1647…2187backed Stars | 36c | 372.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Stars | 37c | 371.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.63 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Stars | 36c | 337.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Stars | 31c | 327.78$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2943…33a5backed Avalanche | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Stars | 35c | 314.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Avalanche | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Avalanche | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Stars | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Stars | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Stars | 72c | 288.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.68 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Avalanche | 38c | 287.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe150…b65ebacked Avalanche | 63c | 282.54$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Stars | 37c | 282.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Avalanche | 63c | 281$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.97 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Stars | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Stars | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…6c96backed Avalanche | 64c | 276.69$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.61 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Avalanche | 43c | 273.68$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.53 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Stars | 25c | 272$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a7…75e2backed Stars | 36c | 270.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Stars | 38c | 261.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Avalanche | 64c | 242.48$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.29 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…077cbacked Stars | 34c | 240.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Avalanche | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Avalanche | 64c | 231.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Avalanche | 65c | 219.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Stars | 35c | 217.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Stars | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Avalanche | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Stars | 62c | 189.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.