MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152b170b11c0c441aff288b7c2633d8a7a834c2f96e9321ff9570aeaec48297d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,576
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,576 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35e9…4ebbbacked Marlins | 35c | 33,200$11,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328d…d451backed Dodgers | 65c | 32,600$21,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,410 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Dodgers | 68c | 14,673$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Marlins | 32c | 11,019$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,526.05 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Dodgers | 66c | 7,957$5,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.39 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Marlins | 1c | 6,020$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Marlins | 33c | 5,741$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.82 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Marlins | 34c | 5,682$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 26c | 5,520$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.01 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Dodgers | 67c | 5,020$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.66 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 13c | 3,210$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.54 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Dodgers | 64c | 3,085$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.51 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Marlins | 35c | 3,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 35c | 2,869$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.66 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 31c | 2,149$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.16 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Dodgers | 77c | 1,975$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.29 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Dodgers | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.65 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Marlins | 35c | 1,513$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.72 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Marlins | 34c | 1,444$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…7892backed Dodgers | 68c | 1,348$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers | 78c | 1,275$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.14 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 36c | 1,196$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.56 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Dodgers | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Marlins | 24c | 929.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Dodgers | 67c | 770.72$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8921…fbd0backed Dodgers | 65c | 749$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Marlins | 35c | 602$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.72 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 67c | 600$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 70c | 585$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.55 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Dodgers | 79c | 488.11$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 35c | 470$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.2 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Dodgers | 67c | 448.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.93 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Marlins | 26c | 426.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Marlins | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Dodgers | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Marlins | 34c | 361$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 67c | 298.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.09 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Dodgers | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 22c | 272.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 34c | 268.03$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Dodgers | 65c | 247.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 33c | 242.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.93 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…6c96backed Marlins | 34c | 224.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6418…f8a6backed Dodgers | 64c | 202.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Marlins | 27c | 199.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Dodgers | 64c | 170$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Dodgers | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…4725backed Dodgers | 66c | 157.62$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 17c | 154$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a53…d226backed Marlins | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers | 65c | 132$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Dodgers | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 30c | 112.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Marlins | 34c | 99.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Marlins | 32c | 89.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa388…511fbacked Dodgers | 67c | 84.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…2b7abacked Dodgers | 68c | 83.62$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Dodgers | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5d…47d0backed Dodgers | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Dodgers | 63c | 62.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…15ddbacked Marlins | 33c | 60.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Dodgers | 66c | 55.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6f…0142backed Dodgers | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Dodgers | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Dodgers | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Dodgers | 77c | 38.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…a941backed Dodgers | 67c | 34.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Marlins | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Marlins | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…3893backed Dodgers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Dodgers | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…ae89backed Dodgers | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Dodgers | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4887…179dbacked Dodgers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.