Bundesliga · resolved market
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2138776a1b0448a2e720ce60b5cb0f65be8083b611473ba0b1ae2c9cc20da50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 56c | 100,000$55,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,499.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 56c | 84,966$47,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,653.71 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 47,618$21,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,266.31 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 32,023$14,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,010.44 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 46c | 25,828$11,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,817.74 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 44c | 22,727$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Over | 56c | 20,405$11,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,978.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 45c | 17,638$7,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.81 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…e821backed Under | 45c | 10,911$4,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 7,587$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.02 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 44c | 7,062$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110.26 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 4,262$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.56 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Under | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…87aebacked Under | 44c | 2,884$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 59c | 2,243$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 1,719$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.37 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 44c | 1,576$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.46 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked Under | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +429.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 59c | 1,433$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.84 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under | 48c | 1,281$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.12 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Under | 44c | 1,182$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 45c | 708.24$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.73 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 45c | 699.98$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.49 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 44c | 644.62$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.25 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 44c | 585.09$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.65 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 46c | 580$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 572.69$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 46c | 553.53$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 45c | 550.66$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.39 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 531.73$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.28 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 45c | 525$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 45c | 523.49$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Under | 45c | 500.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 45c | 483.1$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 49c | 458.16$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 55c | 448$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 44c | 420$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…e14fbacked Under | 45c | 397.95$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 45c | 390.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.85 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 44c | 330$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 44c | 330$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 43c | 316$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Under | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +15.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 41c | 298$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.48 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 56c | 268$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.92 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 47c | 266.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.26 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 246.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 57c | 236.6$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 45c | 232.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 44c | 226.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 44c | 190$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 186.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…ca27backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Over | 57c | 175.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Over | 57c | 170.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…2b7abacked Over | 56c | 154.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 2.5this page
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 1.5Over won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5Under won
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FC Heidenheim 1846 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.