TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,152

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over33c11,000$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.9727138.4%104 W · 167 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5f…4b52backed Under78c8,431$6,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.112871.4%20 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick76cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over23c6,632$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,495.043,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under67c3,400$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12256547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9301546.7%7 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under80c2,982$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.411752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under79c2,351$1,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.717458.1%43 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over23c2,245$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.475142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00b9…4ca6backed Under68c1,878$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46527726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over27c1,249$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.66532.3%21 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over13c1,093$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.642,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over45c900$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40512952.7%68 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Over33c899.96$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.615024%36 W · 114 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c544.69$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.1153645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over64c537.65$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.656366.7%42 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over31c500.14$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.091,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under68c499.99$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.520545.9%94 W · 111 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed Over52c484.88$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.714658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ce6…de1fbacked Over5c460.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.951811.1%2 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-72.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under67c447$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.5118545.9%85 W · 100 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over31c400.55$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4622829.4%67 W · 161 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Under68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10833340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c345.31$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.3948658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over33c303.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5916850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under65c291.96$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3816542.4%70 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc999…2958backed Over48c281.58$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+58.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over56c256.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14512951.2%66 W · 63 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under63c229.87$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.438946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over61c223.66$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.434656.5%26 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfdf6…773bbacked Over18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402157.1%12 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.25per pick32cpaid+75.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over26c199.63$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.133056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under68c180$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66053.3%32 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Under74c180$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.82185.7%18 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick70cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over56c179.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006134.4%21 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under53c167.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.681,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506851.5%35 W · 33 L+10.9wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under67c155.5$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1544749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.617055.3%94 W · 76 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over36c139.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Over23c131.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.192114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under64c117.19$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.192263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over31c109.41$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.224946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over19c105$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9510552.4%55 W · 50 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over30c103.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9811045.5%50 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Under78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over63c95.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603571.4%25 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Under67c92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.36714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-78.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under60c90.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0378248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under68c87.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.373231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Under67c87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7114254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under57c81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.83633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under69c80.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.862556%14 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.210855.6%60 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under75c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.835644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over19c76.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.828551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a39…031abacked Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb02…cceabacked Under69c63.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.77366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under67c62.92$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.718746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201711.8%2 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-69.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6257…99f6backed Under67c61.37$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206526.2%17 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b6f…be9fbacked Under68c60.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85a…6f28backed Under67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked Over19c58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.024143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Over41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2170%0 W · 7 L-3.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x90a5…9dccbacked Over23c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.736761.2%41 W · 26 L+13.8wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+56%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under68c50.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2237344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b9e…0db0backed Under79c45.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.561050%5 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201656.3%9 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+52.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under68c44.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.365137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over31c44.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.815450%27 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under56c41.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.421,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over40c40.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4138151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1c…dc02backed Over27c40.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.891225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-33.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1f…8045backed Over61c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.44057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x450f…9479backed Over40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.061968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over34c37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5876234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013073.1%95 W · 35 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Over51c33.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.18757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc076…d7b4backed Over48c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Over60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13db…bd0abacked Over74c29.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over62c29.03$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5f…44a7backed Under72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Under59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.421855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3513…c19dbacked Under53c21.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.232055%11 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b00…cfbdbacked Under67c20.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-62.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5876…793fbacked Under63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under66c19.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.794100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ea8…9021backed Under68c17.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Under67c15.12$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.923360.6%20 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.