TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Zandschulpof Zandschulp, Tsitsipas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$360,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $360,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5c…126ebacked Zandschulp55c50,553$27,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,640.6980938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Zandschulp60c28,156$16,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,203.122,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ac…fd51backed Tsitsipas36c20,467$7,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,363.8228444.7%127 W · 157 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tsitsipas42c20,427$8,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,533.972,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Tsitsipas67c14,000$9,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,38067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp61c13,043$8,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.787,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Zandschulp33c12,154$4,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,143.2276546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Zandschulp32c11,941$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,084.9823126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Tsitsipas67c10,000$6,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.4643051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Tsitsipas34c9,753$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3454420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Tsitsipas68c7,402$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0004645.7%21 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Zandschulp32c7,142$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.5728439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Tsitsipas36c6,668$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Tsitsipas58c6,560$3,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,800.781,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tsitsipas35c5,695$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Zandschulp32c5,616$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,813.8376140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Tsitsipas36c5,517$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.3311560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zandschulp31c5,456$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.3610443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Tsitsipas70c5,218$3,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,654.494355.7%525 W · 418 L+22.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Tsitsipas53c5,000$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Zandschulp33c3,992$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,674.7724448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Zandschulp32c3,673$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.9555646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fb…acbabacked Tsitsipas65c3,583$2,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.8726065%169 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Zandschulp66c3,510$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.7921147.9%101 W · 110 L-16.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xabdb…3114backed Tsitsipas69c3,220$2,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2222445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf74d…9930backed Zandschulp32c3,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,127.4926158.2%152 W · 109 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Zandschulp59c3,097$1,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.2881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Tsitsipas68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Tsitsipas55c2,857$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,583.298446.4%39 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Tsitsipas69c2,738$1,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.240748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30e9…390ebacked Zandschulp65c2,560$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8964369.8%30 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9206…42a6backed Tsitsipas64c2,547$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.855858.6%34 W · 24 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tsitsipas34c2,474$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.494,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Tsitsipas67c2,239$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50044263.6%281 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Zandschulp32c2,182$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.632634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zandschulp45c2,022$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.562,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Zandschulp66c1,647$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.6852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Zandschulp33c1,627$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.1716340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Zandschulp34c1,485$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.3430847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Zandschulp67c1,483$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.4730845.5%140 W · 168 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zandschulp62c1,481$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.392,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tsitsipas69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Zandschulp38c1,332$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.7939431%122 W · 272 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Tsitsipas33c1,275$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.4730530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Zandschulp34c1,273$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.171,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Tsitsipas27c1,213$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.845032%16 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Tsitsipas66c1,209$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80018957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Tsitsipas37c1,203$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44562545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Zandschulp34c1,189$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Tsitsipas66c1,180$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.7911843.2%51 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tsitsipas40c1,166$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.3197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Zandschulp33c1,161$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.8725428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Zandschulp41c1,129$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.72,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Tsitsipas51c1,111$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5708262.2%51 W · 31 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05a3…14f4backed Tsitsipas44c1,097$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.24557.8%26 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Tsitsipas72c1,085$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7796159%36 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Tsitsipas49c1,040$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.2632050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed Tsitsipas68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68015862.7%99 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Zandschulp33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Tsitsipas68c986.76$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Zandschulp63c977.49$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.678143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Tsitsipas46c969.43$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5384736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Tsitsipas42c952.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007444.6%33 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Zandschulp41c928$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.4215356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Tsitsipas66c915.12$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.2714250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Tsitsipas68c899.96$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.97850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x15fe…c871backed Tsitsipas38c896.93$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.6916133.5%54 W · 107 L+0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a3…9a3bbacked Zandschulp34c882.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Tsitsipas19c880.28$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.321,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Tsitsipas69c869.57$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013260.6%80 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Tsitsipas41c809$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.891,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a8…f031backed Zandschulp34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5283100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+91.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x241a…a9c8backed Tsitsipas35c797.09$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.937248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x560a…a398backed Tsitsipas66c794$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x327c…f1b0backed Tsitsipas69c757.58$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Zandschulp32c744.55$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.461250%6 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+121.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Tsitsipas68c741.4$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.822553.8%121 W · 104 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Tsitsipas35c741.03$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25996035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Zandschulp33c736$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.121,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519f…2af7backed Tsitsipas68c735.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9027…4e9ebacked Tsitsipas68c733.82$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Tsitsipas69c725.29$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008150.6%41 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde44…cb51backed Tsitsipas41c712.42$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2913435.1%47 W · 87 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb62f…6836backed Tsitsipas32c700$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2248530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb75e…5130backed Tsitsipas28c700$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1955343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tsitsipas69c666$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.5417867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Zandschulp36c651.56$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41738348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Tsitsipas33c639.97$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.794146.3%19 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Zandschulp32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zandschulp67c619.99$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.051,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…eb28backed Tsitsipas70c618$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.64047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Zandschulp36c617.72$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5443042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Tsitsipas37c613.63$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23038739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a9…4e21backed Tsitsipas41c613.41$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f87…8a86backed Zandschulp61c604.2$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.672944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Tsitsipas28c578.57$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16299139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Zandschulp71c577.17$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3825152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Zandschulp35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.437644.7%34 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Tsitsipas53c564.39$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Zandschulp71c529.18$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.466338.1%24 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.