Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d08467d83a3b9e89e7501ccd79a749c2f5747eb3b59416f77907454dafd4600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Tsitsipas, Zandschulp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4cb…4d21backed Tsitsipas | 42c | 7,029$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd462…eaecbacked Zandschulp | 58c | 3,696$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked Zandschulp | 58c | 3,333$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Zandschulp | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tsitsipas | 5c | 667.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Tsitsipas | 41c | 430.56$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zandschulp | 54c | 292.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.77 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb597…2949backed Tsitsipas | 41c | 273.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tsitsipas | 40c | 234.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.83 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 208.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Tsitsipas | 7c | 182.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Zandschulp | 58c | 128.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.92 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…d812backed Tsitsipas | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Tsitsipas | 46c | 107.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Zandschulp | 62c | 99.83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Zandschulp | 47c | 66.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Tsitsipas | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Tsitsipas | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Zandschulp | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tsitsipas | 40c | 48.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Tsitsipas | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Zandschulp | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Zandschulp | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)this page
- Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos TsitsipasZandschulp won
- Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs TsitsipasZandschulp won
- Zandschulp vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zandschulp vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zandschulp vs. Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.