Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe09bb28a3d85f8b10db6766ac630f6345954ca40ad125773795679c643d89bfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zandschulpof Zandschulp, Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zandschulp | 31c | 578.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.77 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp | 16c | 348.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…8a86backed Zandschulp | 40c | 348.01$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Tsitsipas | 66c | 302.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Tsitsipas | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Tsitsipas | 74c | 135.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Tsitsipas | 60c | 113.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Tsitsipas | 65c | 97.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zandschulp | 31c | 80.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Zandschulp | 47c | 74.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Tsitsipas | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Zandschulp | 40c | 49.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Tsitsipas | 62c | 48.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tsitsipas | 55c | 47.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zandschulp | 34c | 46.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Tsitsipas | 58c | 44.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.6wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…d26ebacked Zandschulp | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944b…34e8backed Tsitsipas | 62c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Zandschulp | 38c | 29.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Tsitsipas | 47c | 21.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -12.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x959a…2325backed Tsitsipas | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…14e5backed Tsitsipas | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…8bf3backed Tsitsipas | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c5…5ff4backed Tsitsipas | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa70a…7107backed Tsitsipas | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Tsitsipas | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…01a1backed Tsitsipas | 61c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc771…69fbbacked Tsitsipas | 63c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7613…8a5ebacked Tsitsipas | 63c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Tsitsipasthis page
- Rotterdam Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Stefanos TsitsipasZandschulp won
- Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)Zandschulp won
- Zandschulp vs. Tsitsipas: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zandschulp vs. Tsitsipas: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zandschulp vs. Tsitsipas: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.