NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e835ff01fd44da98e43348bada5f48dcef5c93f25e99d15a0fc5ab06787e361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Hawks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Hawks | 37c | 69,881$26,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,162.59 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 63c | 31,340$19,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,742.02 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 65c | 13,500$8,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 61c | 13,445$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,209.48 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Hawks | 38c | 13,067$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 66c | 13,003$8,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,369.07 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 62c | 11,243$6,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,273.7 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 60c | 10,701$6,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.85 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Magic | 62c | 10,038$6,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.93 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Hawks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hawks | 39c | 6,304$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.3 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 71c | 5,855$4,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Magic | 68c | 5,395$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.45 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 38c | 5,000$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Magic | 73c | 4,165$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.76 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 61c | 3,991$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.51 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 62c | 3,449$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.36 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Hawks | 40c | 3,112$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.97 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Hawks | 36c | 2,949$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.18 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks | 12c | 2,800$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 76c | 2,790$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.98 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 63c | 2,772$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Hawks | 40c | 2,708$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.04 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hawks | 39c | 2,700$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Hawks | 20c | 2,545$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.02 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 62c | 2,419$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.35 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d5…dba4backed Hawks | 34c | 2,282$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d31…79fbbacked Magic | 63c | 1,894$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Hawks | 40c | 1,837$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Magic | 61c | 1,514$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.84 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Hawks | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Hawks | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…83efbacked Hawks | 20c | 1,238$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.55 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Hawks | 14c | 1,230$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hawks | 25c | 1,142$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 70c | 1,117$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.16 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hawks | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed Hawks | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Magic | 62c | 999$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Magic | 62c | 962$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.56 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 62c | 961.7$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.32 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Magic | 61c | 852.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 61c | 802.9$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.55 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 38c | 800$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7e…0be4backed Hawks | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks | 17c | 789.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.48 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 38c | 779.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Magic | 61c | 681.49$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.59 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Magic | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Hawks | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Hawks | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Hawks | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Magic | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Magic | 61c | 599.95$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.98 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Magic | 67c | 557.75$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.61 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Hawks | 34c | 530.3$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.3 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 62c | 506.15$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Hawks | 32c | 500$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 36c | 499.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Hawks | 35c | 482.98$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks | 36c | 475$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 17c | 471.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…2067backed Hawks | 22c | 453.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.79 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…a661backed Magic | 66c | 451.52$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Magic | 62c | 440$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Hawks | 6c | 435$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Magic | 62c | 399.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 37c | 399.97$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 60c | 383.11$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.24 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7a…ef68backed Magic | 61c | 350$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…4f0cbacked Hawks | 39c | 350$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…4e88backed Magic | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 64c | 333$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Magic | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Magic | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Magic | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Hawks | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Magic | 63c | 267.44$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 39c | 255.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Hawks | 40c | 252.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…af0ebacked Magic | 62c | 251.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Magic | 68c | 223.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Magic | 61c | 220.47$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Magic | 65c | 209.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Hawks | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Hawks | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 61c | 189$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…8cfbbacked Hawks | 39c | 182.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Hawks | 39c | 180.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa191…7facbacked Magic | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Magic | 63c | 158.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617e…aca3backed Hawks | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Magic | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Magic | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Hawks | 38c | 143.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Hawks | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6009…60eabacked Hawks | 39c | 133.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.