NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91f5ccc580a2f8fd45c57f93ab071ed365fe09969e7372f03d1836d1297b291c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Bucks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,369,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,637,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,369,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 45c | 349,706$155,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193,743.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Bucks | 54c | 170,000$91,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,142.9 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 56c | 157,521$87,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87,949.63 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Wizards | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,999.95 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Bucks | 55c | 93,760$51,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,568.18 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Wizards | 45c | 85,549$38,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,051.69 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Bucks | 54c | 58,111$31,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,111.48 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Wizards | 46c | 51,000$23,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,774.9 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Bucks | 54c | 50,000$27,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,999.99 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 46c | 44,000$20,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,759.99 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 52c | 41,828$21,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,750.96 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Wizards | 46c | 41,318$18,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,404.64 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bucks | 54c | 40,816$22,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,081.43 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…a901backed Bucks | 0c | 33,322$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 55c | 28,652$15,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,649.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 47c | 26,745$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,244.85 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bucks | 55c | 25,962$14,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,278.88 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Bucks | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 51c | 24,817$12,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,050.98 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…76bdbacked Bucks | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Bucks | 55c | 19,190$10,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,554.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 13c | 18,849$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.22 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Wizards | 45c | 18,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,899.8 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Bucks | 54c | 17,440$9,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,417.6 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks | 12c | 17,053$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.2 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Wizards | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,159.99 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wizards | 70c | 16,792$11,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,077.7 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Wizards | 47c | 15,000$7,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,959.69 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Bucks | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,099.95 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks | 27c | 14,945$4,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,028.53 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Bucks | 31c | 14,018$4,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373.6 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 70c | 12,663$8,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.67 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wizards | 45c | 11,858$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,516.69 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Wizards | 41c | 11,712$4,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,909.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Bucks | 59c | 11,700$6,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Wizards | 45c | 11,000$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,094.94 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Bucks | 55c | 10,999$6,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,094.7 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Bucks | 55c | 10,400$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…f4f1backed Wizards | 45c | 10,090$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Wizards | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.98 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Bucks | 54c | 9,833$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 54c | 9,537$5,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,193.15 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 55c | 9,433$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,234.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Bucks | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks | 55c | 9,072$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,989.6 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Wizards | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Bucks | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.93 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Wizards | 67c | 8,814$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.15 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Wizards | 46c | 8,700$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Wizards | 58c | 8,692$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,691.88 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 45c | 7,967$3,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,416 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 55c | 7,657$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Bucks | 55c | 7,552$4,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,153.61 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks | 54c | 7,000$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wizards | 46c | 6,600$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,564 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…7f04backed Bucks | 52c | 6,560$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410.39 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Wizards | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.14 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2541backed Wizards | 44c | 6,100$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,406.79 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…e299backed Bucks | 56c | 6,100$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bucks | 15c | 5,499$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.16 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee4…60cebacked Bucks | 56c | 5,407$3,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,027.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf77a…c1fbbacked Wizards | 44c | 5,275$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Bucks | 55c | 5,182$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…9cb1backed Bucks | 56c | 5,150$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…158cbacked Bucks | 55c | 5,005$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wizards | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Wizards | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bucks | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.95 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…8c8cbacked Bucks | 55c | 4,890$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e46…8d0dbacked Wizards | 44c | 4,816$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,696.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Wizards | 46c | 4,800$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wizards | 79c | 4,748$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…b699backed Bucks | 56c | 4,687$2,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,624.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Wizards | 46c | 4,536$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.53 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Wizards | 50c | 4,365$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190.07 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Wizards | 54c | 4,313$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.16 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Wizards | 65c | 4,230$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.23 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Bucks | 54c | 4,172$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Bucks | 55c | 4,021$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.54 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Bucks | 35c | 4,007$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.17 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Wizards | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 26c | 3,974$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.36 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eab…7e13backed Bucks | 53c | 3,869$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.73 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 23c | 3,780$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.12 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Bucks | 42c | 3,700$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Bucks | 52c | 3,599$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.68 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Wizards | 55c | 3,466$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.21 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…6605backed Wizards | 58c | 3,464$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.57 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Wizards | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.33 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards | 55c | 3,325$1,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.39 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…f089backed Bucks | 55c | 3,138$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.04 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 35c | 3,135$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.04 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…16fbbacked Bucks | 55c | 3,125$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,718.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaa…c090backed Wizards | 45c | 3,105$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb8…af40backed Bucks | 55c | 3,100$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.92 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…a7ddbacked Wizards | 45c | 3,062$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,684.35 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 54c | 3,003$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Wizardsthis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Cole Anthony: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.