TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,149
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,823

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,149 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc311…44fcbacked Over46c10,183$4,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6853135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3f6…e9b1backed Over49c7,810$3,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,826.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b5…f3efbacked Over49c7,628$3,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,737.72837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…19ffbacked Over49c7,593$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.57540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4841…1e3cbacked Under51c7,425$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x518e…2bbbbacked Under51c6,523$3,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,196.27580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7868…54cabacked Over49c6,414$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6e…4b7cbacked Under51c6,313$3,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,093.373100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a0c…dc23backed Over49c6,263$3,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,068.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3e6…feb2backed Over48c6,094$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c5,409$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf750…a9dfbacked Over49c5,288$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.1230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c6d…d798backed Under51c5,252$2,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99cd…f888backed Over49c5,026$2,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,462.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe509…106abacked Over49c4,897$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.53425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x375f…f6a8backed Over49c4,885$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…fc5abacked Over49c4,496$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,203.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x128c…f362backed Over49c4,367$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb4…ec75backed Under51c4,113$2,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a88…38a5backed Under51c3,977$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,948.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2b…80e8backed Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5997…5424backed Over49c3,809$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.4140%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36f8…49febacked Over49c3,800$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,862250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x927d…9db4backed Under51c3,625$1,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.25650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd704…21b1backed Under51c3,616$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e27…e074backed Under51c3,515$1,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5f…f76fbacked Under51c3,312$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.88450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb528…32e0backed Under51c2,945$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8388…25dbbacked Under51c2,850$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c7…97f2backed Under51c2,544$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2be4…2695backed Under51c2,543$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,246.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…ab35backed Under52c2,525$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7924…9d50backed Over48c2,525$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9552…413bbacked Under51c2,354$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0c…2a6cbacked Under51c2,352$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…a548backed Under51c2,341$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under54c2,207$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.352,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98e…dd42backed Under52c2,171$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72cc…916abacked Under52c2,158$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eac…25dabacked Under51c2,144$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd05…8c0abacked Over48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aff…4022backed Under52c1,765$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.38250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c1,698$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.458,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e7…b4adbacked Under51c1,621$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x542c…9536backed Under70c1,252$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.688348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fad…9a02backed Over48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under53c1,133$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.512,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c1,094$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa84f…94e8backed Under51c950$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa94f…ac1cbacked Over49c943$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over8c866$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.562,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under55c863$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.571,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x025c…8e68backed Over48c846.14$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Over46c787.02$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36024323.9%58 W · 185 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x574e…2b4dbacked Under51c752$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.48450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Over46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005742.1%24 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8158…d1fcbacked Under51c621$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under54c616.67$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.6762546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3fa…eb22backed Under51c566$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.457862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24519647.4%93 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over28c468.46$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.723,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over14c399.19$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2376653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x929b…cc71backed Under51c377$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b5…3fdcbacked Under51c355$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.95540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Over46c327$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4240648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under55c242.25$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.943,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under70c241.42$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.421,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…1f12backed Under52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.383554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over49c223.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.861,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c219.29$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.673,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under54c217.38$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9859144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under69c190.32$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9224138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under56c180$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.216052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Under55c178.34$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2540346.2%186 W · 217 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c159.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.751,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…c706backed Over44c159$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9614949.7%74 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c154.83$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.222,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8567…56a3backed Under57c151.05$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.05785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+52.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under56c150.51$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under53c125.24$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x31be…8542backed Under51c121$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.29450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Over47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0523946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd977…1ff4backed Under51c108.11$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.97450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Over47c106$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8253839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4841354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5f…fc90backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9150351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ed8…0e99backed Over46c89.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1145653.5%244 W · 212 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…7d5abacked Under55c81.82$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8213464.2%86 W · 48 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.93,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over42c64.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.383,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.