NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45e742874d684d51a83966d61982146cc1cd5a42ce5e86b94e194d6c205f658
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Bucks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $256,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $256,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Wizards | 50c | 60,978$30,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,608.89 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks | 50c | 54,683$27,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,341.5 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…544cbacked Bucks | 51c | 36,301$18,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,417.85 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -11.0wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Bucks | 48c | 27,456$13,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,179.09 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…b2e9backed Wizards | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Wizards | 52c | 16,000$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,680 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 50c | 13,920$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,967.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 50c | 10,347$5,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,210.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bucks | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b41…a44abacked Wizards | 50c | 6,508$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaccc…2765backed Wizards | 50c | 6,500$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…24e7backed Bucks | 50c | 6,355$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e0…82e5backed Wizards | 50c | 5,900$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Wizards | 52c | 5,686$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.1 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 51c | 5,655$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,764.86 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce8…9410backed Bucks | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7c…068bbacked Wizards | 50c | 5,230$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…b89fbacked Bucks | 50c | 5,021$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 49c | 3,886$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.71 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6520…7d3cbacked Bucks | 50c | 3,700$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bucks | 50c | 3,542$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.41 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Bucks | 49c | 3,380$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Wizards | 51c | 3,107$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.31 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4171…b957backed Wizards | 50c | 3,046$1,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Bucks | 47c | 3,004$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.93 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Wizards | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks | 50c | 2,670$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.98 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Wizards | 52c | 2,631$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.09 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…793abacked Bucks | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb9…1ee3backed Bucks | 50c | 2,508$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…9cb1backed Bucks | 51c | 2,479$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 48c | 2,360$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.93 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Bucks | 58c | 2,325$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.02 | 163 | 35.6%58 W · 105 L | -12.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…dcf1backed Bucks | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards | 49c | 2,226$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Wizards | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…1b39backed Bucks | 50c | 1,898$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9323…931dbacked Bucks | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wizards | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…50dabacked Wizards | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…1880backed Wizards | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Wizards | 52c | 1,279$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.99 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Wizards | 51c | 1,271$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.66 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…94e8backed Bucks | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e2c4backed Wizards | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Bucks | 49c | 1,078$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…0784backed Wizards | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Bucks | 48c | 859.01$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 50c | 850$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…3bbabacked Wizards | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Wizards | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Wizards | 42c | 586.86$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.38 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bucks | 49c | 544.76$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.93 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Wizards | 52c | 481.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.62 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Wizards | 52c | 480$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed Bucks | 49c | 467.29$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.97 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Bucks | 49c | 409.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Wizards | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Bucks | 49c | 387.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bucks | 7c | 340.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8617…379ebacked Bucks | 22c | 313.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 48c | 309.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…fa75backed Bucks | 32c | 280.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks | 51c | 250.97$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e587backed Wizards | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Wizards | 54c | 248$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 47c | 243.43$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.86 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Wizards | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…0493backed Bucks | 49c | 203.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Bucks | 50c | 198.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bucks | 49c | 188$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Bucks | 41c | 160$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Bucks | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Bucks | 48c | 130.83$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Bucks | 49c | 122.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wizards | 50c | 118.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Wizards | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Bucks | 45c | 97.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Wizards | 54c | 94.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bucks | 50c | 91.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Wizards | 52c | 87.06$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.79 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 83.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Wizards | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…2d6ebacked Wizards | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Wizards | 52c | 75.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.33 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Wizards | 52c | 75.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Wizards | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.15 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ef…0acdbacked Bucks | 44c | 69.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Bucks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Bucks | 35c | 61.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Wizards | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…0859backed Wizards | 51c | 58.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 216 | 45.8%99 W · 117 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 56c | 54.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bucks | 46c | 51.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Bucks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Cole Anthony: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.