NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e026fa91fc0ab76a1976ac6278e75b4f0c0c058c97ea82b8f7f70afa9e3cd6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Bucks, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $172,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…088ebacked Bucks | 46c | 8,348$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e71…7c1bbacked Bucks | 46c | 7,687$3,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…f588backed Bucks | 46c | 7,431$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea24…0867backed Bucks | 46c | 7,398$3,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,403.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e99…9a51backed Bucks | 46c | 7,343$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…4673backed Bucks | 46c | 7,171$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,298.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…cbe4backed Bucks | 46c | 7,145$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,286.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…0525backed Bucks | 46c | 6,854$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1c…0f3bbacked Bucks | 46c | 6,600$3,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,036 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e587backed Bucks | 46c | 6,200$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…c806backed Wizards | 54c | 5,700$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…b0d6backed Wizards | 54c | 5,656$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…3e4dbacked Bucks | 46c | 5,656$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…09dcbacked Wizards | 54c | 5,600$3,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb23d…47d5backed Wizards | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9e…aedbbacked Bucks | 46c | 5,500$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…8ff3backed Wizards | 54c | 5,200$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6473…31b1backed Wizards | 54c | 5,135$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4843…fb76backed Wizards | 54c | 5,020$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x419a…09c2backed Wizards | 54c | 4,988$2,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,294.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc17…6c47backed Bucks | 46c | 4,966$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032b…981fbacked Wizards | 54c | 4,855$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,233.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…4c20backed Bucks | 46c | 4,756$2,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,187.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…a93dbacked Bucks | 46c | 4,707$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,165.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3699…39c8backed Wizards | 54c | 4,685$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bde…9a3fbacked Bucks | 46c | 4,664$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…b65dbacked Wizards | 54c | 4,650$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3e…d464backed Bucks | 46c | 4,635$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf126…2a42backed Wizards | 54c | 4,621$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0357…5033backed Bucks | 46c | 4,619$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f6…799ebacked Wizards | 54c | 4,574$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…d7a4backed Bucks | 46c | 4,574$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…5f68backed Wizards | 54c | 4,536$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,086.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…8572backed Wizards | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2927…f3eebacked Bucks | 46c | 4,500$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8057…c693backed Bucks | 46c | 4,030$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,853.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abf…93afbacked Wizards | 54c | 4,011$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…3feebacked Wizards | 54c | 4,010$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb281…cfa5backed Bucks | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…e69cbacked Wizards | 54c | 3,727$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…16a9backed Wizards | 54c | 3,727$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…94e8backed Bucks | 46c | 3,666$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…96edbacked Wizards | 54c | 3,621$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…5269backed Wizards | 54c | 3,616$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…af10backed Wizards | 54c | 3,388$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…1b12backed Wizards | 54c | 3,339$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…3f7abacked Wizards | 54c | 3,233$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d4…572abacked Wizards | 54c | 3,232$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf48…4964backed Wizards | 54c | 3,232$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…0005backed Wizards | 54c | 3,188$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…9f69backed Wizards | 54c | 3,041$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…1b39backed Wizards | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…bc34backed Wizards | 54c | 2,655$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ab…1be3backed Wizards | 54c | 2,620$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5636backed Wizards | 54c | 2,567$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…aedcbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,452$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…61a7backed Wizards | 54c | 2,365$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…4c27backed Wizards | 54c | 2,354$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…0838backed Wizards | 54c | 2,354$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…d85fbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,334$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…793abacked Wizards | 54c | 2,300$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…22e2backed Wizards | 54c | 2,224$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 45c | 2,114$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.82 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…863dbacked Wizards | 54c | 2,046$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…38bbbacked Bucks | 46c | 2,021$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c6…4830backed Bucks | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Bucks | 45c | 1,867$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…50dabacked Bucks | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4299…42f9backed Wizards | 54c | 1,414$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…1880backed Bucks | 46c | 1,400$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e2c4backed Bucks | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…f888backed Bucks | 46c | 1,277$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…2c7dbacked Wizards | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa17a…25e7backed Bucks | 46c | 1,154$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…3e08backed Bucks | 46c | 1,152$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…052ebacked Bucks | 46c | 1,112$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wizards | 55c | 1,098$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…f54bbacked Bucks | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…ec08backed Wizards | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…3bbabacked Bucks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 46c | 942.49$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.95 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…aecebacked Bucks | 46c | 925$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…b138backed Bucks | 46c | 904$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Wizards | 54c | 899.99$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Wizards | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…9fd6backed Bucks | 46c | 887$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…8c6fbacked Wizards | 54c | 887$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…8500backed Bucks | 46c | 874$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02bf…3dfcbacked Bucks | 46c | 856$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a4…0839backed Bucks | 46c | 850$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…6104backed Bucks | 46c | 842$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…b72cbacked Bucks | 46c | 810$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…c4d6backed Bucks | 46c | 778$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…a7dfbacked Wizards | 54c | 753$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…f4f0backed Bucks | 46c | 746$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…e663backed Wizards | 54c | 730$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…5904backed Bucks | 46c | 720$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…c86fbacked Bucks | 46c | 714$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…e77dbacked Bucks | 46c | 682$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…d798backed Bucks | 46c | 666$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Bucks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Cole Anthony: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.