NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc40087ad6e96cc39a95ae9ca4c6fb0471a59f2925387c57d58dd8f9d9bda210f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 16,276$7,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,938.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 52c | 10,776$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.44 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 52c | 9,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…1601backed Under | 47c | 8,255$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe76…7a31backed Under | 47c | 7,796$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,131.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4400…f4f0backed Over | 53c | 7,154$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…b138backed Under | 47c | 6,924$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…3e08backed Under | 47c | 6,819$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb7…f54bbacked Under | 47c | 6,740$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,572.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…d344backed Over | 53c | 6,740$3,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…c79ebacked Under | 47c | 6,600$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc859…b72cbacked Under | 47c | 6,568$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,481.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4299…42f9backed Over | 53c | 6,478$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a4…0839backed Over | 53c | 6,322$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…692abacked Over | 53c | 6,320$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…760bbacked Over | 53c | 6,234$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…8500backed Over | 53c | 6,196$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…ec08backed Over | 53c | 5,989$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba04…e77dbacked Over | 53c | 5,982$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…c86fbacked Under | 47c | 5,979$2,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,168.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95c…052ebacked Under | 47c | 5,878$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ced…0784backed Under | 47c | 5,789$2,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5efe…aecebacked Over | 53c | 5,736$3,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…e1fdbacked Over | 53c | 5,656$2,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…0a74backed Over | 53c | 5,628$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…7f60backed Under | 47c | 5,600$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc535…c4d6backed Over | 53c | 5,588$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…e3d4backed Over | 53c | 5,580$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…6104backed Under | 47c | 5,540$2,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…3bbabacked Under | 47c | 5,518$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e2c4backed Over | 53c | 5,518$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…aedcbacked Under | 47c | 5,125$2,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1958…0838backed Over | 53c | 5,111$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7341…9fd6backed Over | 53c | 5,100$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…4c27backed Under | 47c | 4,984$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…1880backed Under | 47c | 4,902$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8187…22e2backed Over | 53c | 4,725$2,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 4,674$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…f747backed Under | 47c | 4,526$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5636backed Over | 53c | 4,425$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e3…38bbbacked Under | 47c | 4,212$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 48cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…61a7backed Under | 47c | 4,025$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…50dabacked Over | 53c | 4,022$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 52c | 3,539$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.12 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 52c | 3,539$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.53 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a3…863dbacked Over | 53c | 3,354$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 49c | 3,121$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.29 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac6…1b39backed Over | 53c | 2,946$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Over | 48c | 2,917$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ab…1be3backed Under | 47c | 2,562$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…d85fbacked Under | 47c | 2,382$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.86 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…793abacked Under | 47c | 2,072$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 51c | 1,986$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.9 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb1…bc34backed Under | 47c | 1,612$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 1,589$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…e544backed Over | 53c | 1,450$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…1b12backed Under | 47c | 1,426$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 48c | 1,413$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.4 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 70c | 1,288$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,054$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.86 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 48c | 946.09$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.43 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 706.67$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6241…4673backed Under | 47c | 602$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…cbe4backed Over | 53c | 475$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 48c | 457.76$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe135…dcf5backed Under | 47c | 325$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 316.67$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 5c | 213.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 206.88$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f6…509bbacked Over | 50c | 200.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 30c | 199.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 127.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 48c | 116.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 49c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…6d49backed Over | 47c | 84.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 50c | 80.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 25c | 78.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 65.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 53c | 63.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…5cf0backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf89c…8937backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0de…9635backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Over | 51c | 41.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 49c | 41.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Bucks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Cole Anthony: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.