NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca607348ddcbd5589e7779df57705b63eb103e665af9eb53a492e8b1e5033fca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Over | 52c | 41,678$21,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,672.3 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 19,045$9,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Under | 49c | 10,931$5,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,619.38 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Under | 48c | 8,475$4,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,407 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 8,206$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.78 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5c…36f0backed Under | 49c | 8,040$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,139.97 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 7,552$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 48c | 7,373$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.92 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 48c | 7,018$3,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.42 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 48c | 5,296$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.83 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 4,676$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.6 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 48c | 4,124$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,124.15 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 48c | 3,308$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.95 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b73…18a4backed Under | 51c | 3,245$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 51c | 2,939$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.76 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,800$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,631$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Over | 52c | 1,272$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 1,234$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.87 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Under | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 1,104$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,047$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.37 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 48c | 889.92$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.76 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 50c | 795.04$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Over | 53c | 760.38$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 50c | 760$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 50c | 719.55$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.78 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Over | 53c | 675.6$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.07 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Over | 35c | 665.17$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.54 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Over | 53c | 639.42$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.89 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Under | 51c | 545.1$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.1 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 523.37$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 427$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Over | 53c | 321.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e3…6407backed Over | 53c | 293.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Over | 53c | 288$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Over | 53c | 278$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.34 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…062dbacked Over | 53c | 244.28$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Over | 53c | 201.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…9e1abacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…4ab2backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Over | 53c | 165.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.48 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Over | 53c | 162.68$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.22 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 53c | 160.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Over | 53c | 149.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 50c | 148$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Over | 53c | 142.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Over | 52c | 120.78$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 49c | 120.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.31 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Over | 53c | 119.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 53c | 117.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 51c | 117.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Over | 53c | 113.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Over | 53c | 112.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Over | 53c | 112.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd524…4341backed Over | 43c | 104.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Under | 48c | 104.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 50c | 99.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Over | 53c | 97.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Over | 53c | 95.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…742abacked Over | 53c | 94.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Over | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ee…5d16backed Over | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Over | 53c | 91.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Under | 49c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.52 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…aab9backed Over | 53c | 73.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3296backed Over | 53c | 72.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…8edbbacked Over | 53c | 68.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x522e…02e7backed Over | 53c | 68.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b7…e0e4backed Over | 53c | 64.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc302…7409backed Over | 53c | 62.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Over | 51c | 62.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Over | 53c | 61.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd70…843ebacked Over | 53c | 59.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…bc9bbacked Over | 53c | 57.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 51c | 56.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6b…7e84backed Over | 53c | 56.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 48c | 52.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a22…c4a5backed Over | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…c672backed Over | 53c | 44.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 43.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…e477backed Over | 53c | 41.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over | 53c | 39.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…e152backed Over | 53c | 39.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Alexandre Sarr: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Bucks vs. WizardsWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H MoneylineWizards won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 223.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5Under won
- Cole Anthony: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Myles Turner: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Wizards won
- Tre Johnson: Points O/U 16.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.