Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86b034f6e656d8c9da1c0701a403bbedf688f094dded4cbe103156eab3a491a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $747,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,746 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 533 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 47c | 95,330$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 54,474$26,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,841.2 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid | 66c | 42,326$27,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,326.86 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 33,949$18,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,431.25 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid | 54c | 31,395$16,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,531.2 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 29,422$14,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,258.37 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid | 53c | 27,770$14,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,092.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Team Spirit | 36c | 21,112$7,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,497.11 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit | 58c | 17,578$10,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,156.34 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 12,754$6,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,101.2 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 12,229$5,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,505.41 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Spirit | 47c | 12,177$5,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,773.32 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 50c | 11,760$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,909 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 52c | 11,355$5,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.31 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 11,215$5,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,732.85 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid | 58c | 10,938$6,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,636.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 10,421$5,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.09 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 53c | 10,385$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.66 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 47c | 10,035$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.51 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Liquid | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Team Spirit | 49c | 8,813$4,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,318.35 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 71c | 8,586$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.63 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,240 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Team Spirit | 48c | 7,919$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,808.72 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 7,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 46c | 6,999$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.48 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 6,732$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,732.14 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 6,539$3,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,204.16 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 6,459$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 6,270$2,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,478.37 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Spirit | 56c | 6,221$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,493.31 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 6,003$3,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.62 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 40c | 5,270$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…3500backed Team Spirit | 59c | 5,057$2,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.29 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit | 38c | 4,944$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.72 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 4,884$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.1 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 48c | 4,822$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.04 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Team Spirit | 56c | 4,531$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.07 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 4,522$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.49 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Spirit | 42c | 4,090$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 65c | 3,921$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.36 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…c074backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,865$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,626$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 3,534$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.31 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Team Spirit | 40c | 3,518$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.18 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 3,513$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.11 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 3,216$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.45 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934e…e7c0backed Team Liquid | 52c | 3,135$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Team Spirit | 28c | 3,098$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 3,027$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.98 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 48c | 3,025$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.62 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,900$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.99 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit | 50c | 2,856$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.76 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Team Liquid | 42c | 2,801$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.51 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 49c | 2,724$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.38 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Spirit | 34c | 2,710$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.3 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit | 56c | 2,690$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.36 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,686$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.31 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Spirit | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 49c | 2,410$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.62 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Team Liquid | 47c | 2,390$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.66 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 2,202$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,104$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.83 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,009$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.95 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Spirit | 39c | 2,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,959$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,932$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.39 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,743$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.34 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,727$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,716$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.76 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 1,690$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.48 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,620$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.1 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,553$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.62 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 1,520$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,519$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.92 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Spirit | 4c | 1,510$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,500$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.14 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,500$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,498$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.04 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…6bc7backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,470$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Team Spirit | 27c | 1,463$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 1,462$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.59 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked Team Spirit | 29c | 1,429$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.41 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059e…54d1backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,428$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…dd2fbacked Team Spirit | 27c | 1,352$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,349$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.98 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,287$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.57 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,274$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.35 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,261$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,206$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.33 | 1,113 | 36.2%403 W · 710 L | -37.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,205$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.7 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 38c | 1,200$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,157$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.38 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,120$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.