Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae8b25c4991e693557389a946d38d7914aec320bd483b5d32fd05a2a17558e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $467,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,280 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dfe…5b91backed Team Liquid | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 35,119$15,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,053.33 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 51c | 19,515$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,514.6 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 48c | 15,000$7,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,190.33 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid | 22c | 14,717$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.07 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 52c | 14,365$7,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,895.16 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Team Liquid | 48c | 10,000$4,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 49c | 9,900$4,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 9,443$5,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.85 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid | 49c | 8,500$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.98 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 6,868$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.17 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit | 52c | 6,455$3,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.84 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Team Spirit | 64c | 6,157$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 5,793$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.98 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,773$2,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,824.5 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 49c | 5,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 70c | 4,861$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.43 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf657…f8d0backed Team Spirit | 66c | 4,565$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 4,444$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.23 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 4,196$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.43 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 4,154$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit | 78c | 3,214$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.44 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,181$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.83 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 3,000$1,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.69 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 2,864$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.12 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,755$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.92 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 67c | 2,618$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.12 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 2,287$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.68 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Team Spirit | 58c | 2,010$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 2,000$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.18 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,971$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 47c | 1,863$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.77 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid | 2c | 1,718$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,700$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,668$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.39 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit | 65c | 1,626$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.97 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,605$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.5 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid | 48c | 1,470$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.56 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,392$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.51 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Spirit | 69c | 1,305$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.98 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 57c | 1,220$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 25c | 1,204$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Liquid | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.31 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,080$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,049$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.18 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,044$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.85 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,000$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 43c | 952.29$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.22 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit | 58c | 935.08$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.28 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 901.85$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.5 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid | 45c | 901.33$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Liquid | 46c | 871.38$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.84 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit | 50c | 864$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid | 14c | 803.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid | 28c | 800$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 58c | 799.99$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.99 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc904…fe82backed Team Liquid | 18c | 799.98$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 786.55$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.34 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 785.56$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 779.43$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.6 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Spirit | 68c | 763.67$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.37 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 742.14$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.9 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 730.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.64 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…c074backed Team Liquid | 10c | 717.39$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Team Liquid | 42c | 716.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid | 23c | 715.88$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.79 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 685.69$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 57c | 681.75$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.56 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid | 6c | 663.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Spirit | 65c | 633.62$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.69 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid | 24c | 606.77$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.02 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Liquid | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid | 13c | 599.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 50c | 571.24$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.62 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Team Spirit | 53c | 563.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.92 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 62c | 555.29$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.73 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Spirit | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 56c | 508.06$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.24 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Liquid | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb638…5213backed Team Liquid | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Spirit | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit | 58c | 488.53$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Team Spirit | 52c | 479.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid | 44c | 474.14$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.39 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Liquid | 43c | 468.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Spirit | 55c | 453$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.92 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Spirit | 67c | 446.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Liquid | 46c | 433.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid | 44c | 427.91$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.