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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$467,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $467,280 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7dfe…5b91backed Team Liquid0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid43c35,119$15,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,053.3355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit51c19,515$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,514.654556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid48c15,000$7,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,190.3342650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid22c14,717$3,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,193.073333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit52c14,365$7,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,895.1632854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6551…e043backed Team Liquid48c10,000$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,786.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid49c9,900$4,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85111547%54 W · 61 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit55c9,443$5,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,290.8553451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid49c8,500$4,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,164.984658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid47c6,868$3,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,228.1736041.4%149 W · 211 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit52c6,455$3,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,072.849636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe491…ccd1backed Team Spirit64c6,157$3,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.652650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit51c5,793$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9822842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid49c5,773$2,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.522643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid49c5,000$2,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,46089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit70c4,861$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,438.4335758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf657…f8d0backed Team Spirit66c4,565$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5593342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Liquid46c4,444$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.238258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Liquid48c4,196$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.4316248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid41c4,154$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70048539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Spirit78c3,214$2,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.4418661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit55c3,181$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.8320156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit65c3,000$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.6941242.2%174 W · 238 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit57c2,864$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.121,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Team Spirit55c2,755$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.926852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit67c2,618$1,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.122,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit58c2,287$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.681,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed Team Spirit58c2,010$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.481942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Spirit50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0004440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Spirit67c2,000$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.1830155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit66c1,971$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.446649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid47c1,863$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.7779959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1889741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid2c1,718$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3637811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit57c1,700$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73585851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Team Liquid39c1,668$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.395935.6%21 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit65c1,626$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.9738653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f8…22babacked Team Liquid50c1,605$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Team Spirit51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7359257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Liquid48c1,470$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.5616050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Spirit58c1,392$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.518845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Team Spirit69c1,305$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.9830356.4%171 W · 132 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit57c1,220$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.0429160.1%175 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid25c1,204$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…e5d6backed Team Liquid44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid53c1,080$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.319153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Spirit47c1,080$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.316650%33 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd73e…bb87backed Team Spirit51c1,049$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.187252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit53c1,044$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.859657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Team Spirit55c1,000$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44611331.9%36 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Team Spirit53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47015650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid43c952.29$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit58c935.08$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.2836343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit70c901.85$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.532652.1%170 W · 156 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Liquid45c901.33$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40445046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed Team Liquid46c871.38$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.848439.3%33 W · 51 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit50c864$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43228544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Team Liquid14c803.02$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11252649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5502…d440backed Team Liquid28c800$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22345457.5%261 W · 193 L+39.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit58c799.99$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.9944149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc904…fe82backed Team Liquid18c799.98$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1462835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit72c786.55$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3418362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit67c785.56$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.611,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid43c779.43$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.62,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Team Spirit68c763.67$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.377950.6%40 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Team Spirit52c742.14$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.912454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit55c730.64$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.641,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f5…c074backed Team Liquid10c717.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+77.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed Team Liquid42c716.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Liquid23c715.88$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7950832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Team Liquid44c685.69$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit57c681.75$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.5666662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Liquid6c663.42$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0263032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Spirit65c633.62$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.6931835.8%114 W · 204 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid24c606.77$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0212156.2%68 W · 53 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit76c600$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14489749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Liquid47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2827955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid13c599.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8115051.3%77 W · 73 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit50c571.24$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.6253652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c6…85b9backed Team Spirit53c563.66$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.926546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit62c555.29$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.7351751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Team Spirit56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.7110645.3%48 W · 58 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit56c508.06$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.2460552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Liquid23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.312132.2%39 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb638…5213backed Team Liquid46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2303215.6%5 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-69.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Spirit58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9932951.7%170 W · 159 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Spirit51c490.2$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.26160.7%37 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit58c488.53$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.5333041.8%138 W · 192 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Team Spirit52c479.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.110456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid44c474.14$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.3911549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Team Liquid43c468.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Spirit55c453$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9233549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked Team Spirit67c446.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.4311753%62 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Liquid46c433.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Liquid44c427.91$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.833645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Team Spirit50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21072154%389 W · 332 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.