Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc153a656f1e9475d2acc9e1fe185947e3d0de48ebc770b9055b0a3b7eddd9a90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $510,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,559 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dfe…5b91backed Team Spirit | 0c | 90,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 48,354$20,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,445.08 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 49c | 20,270$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Team Spirit | 0c | 18,030$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 14,444$7,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,944.2 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 54c | 13,656$7,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,341.7 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 50c | 8,706$4,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.94 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Liquid | 49c | 8,373$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,296.16 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…0c8ebacked Team Spirit | 0c | 8,026$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 7,627$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.7 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 6,864$3,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,701.02 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 68c | 6,026$4,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.12 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 5,431$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.1 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 33c | 5,295$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.64 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 4,519$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.47 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.99 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Spirit | 19c | 4,140$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.24 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Team Spirit | 58c | 4,076$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 4,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.05 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 3,966$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.86 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 3,929$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.23 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Spirit | 50c | 3,847$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.09 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 48c | 3,677$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.81 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 3,611$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.82 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 58c | 3,256$1,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.17 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 3,016$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.48 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,641$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.7 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 2,600$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,596$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.26 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Liquid | 33c | 2,258$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.86 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,239$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.83 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Liquid | 43c | 2,189$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.89 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Team Spirit | 43c | 2,138$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.31 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 2,109$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.75 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Team Spirit | 3c | 2,083$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Spirit | 15c | 1,975$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Team Spirit | 41c | 1,966$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.46 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 39c | 1,923$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.73 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,915$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,871$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.66 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,828$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.77 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,658$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.18 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,617$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.47 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…2ee1backed Team Spirit | 17c | 1,540$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 1,499$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.66 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 1,455$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.18 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 43c | 1,441$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.99 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,388$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.37 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,352$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit | 24c | 1,271$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 43c | 1,224$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,216$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.38 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,148$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Team Spirit | 22c | 1,111$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Team Spirit | 33c | 1,100$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.95 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,029$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.54 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Team Spirit | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Spirit | 52c | 964.87$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 12c | 937.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Team Spirit | 24c | 900$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.26 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Team Liquid | 40c | 900$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 888.59$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.02 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 852.17$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Spirit | 61c | 843.18$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.34 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid | 44c | 756.29$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.28 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 750.12$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.05 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 60c | 745.16$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.01 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 43c | 721$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 710.11$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.77 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Team Spirit | 61c | 699.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.72 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…c7c9backed Team Spirit | 60c | 678.33$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Spirit | 33c | 642.71$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.2 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 53c | 636.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.27 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Spirit | 21c | 635.69$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Team Spirit | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c57…47aabacked Team Liquid | 45c | 629.73$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.42 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…63bebacked Team Spirit | 29c | 587$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 46c | 564.39$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.78 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 43c | 551.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2570…9fe2backed Team Spirit | 68c | 521.04$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a43…38f8backed Team Liquid | 42c | 505.77$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Liquid | 39c | 504.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Team Spirit | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Team Spirit | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 499.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed Team Spirit | 23c | 499.96$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.98 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Team Liquid | 69c | 499.22$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team Spirit | 50c | 494.1$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Spirit | 51c | 475.43$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.79 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 449.93$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Spirit | 60c | 439.77$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.67 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…2540backed Team Spirit | 72c | 412.5$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid | 67c | 409.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Spirit | 50c | 400.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.