TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Morelia: Nicolas Mejia vs Andres Martin

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nicolas Mejiaof Nicolas Mejia, Andres Martin
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,579

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,579 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nicolas Mejia68c1,945$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.22,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Andres Martin31c1,542$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.237,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Andres Martin3c1,023$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.656,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Nicolas Mejia75c1,010$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.219450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Andres Martin36c976.06$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.0128835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Nicolas Mejia63c795.38$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.59947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andres Martin13c706.22$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed Andres Martin71c704.37$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050458.9%297 W · 207 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Andres Martin18c699.98$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.41,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Andres Martin24c698.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.642,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Andres Martin31c666.31$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.022,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc155…dc0fbacked Nicolas Mejia64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2256336.5%23 W · 40 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nicolas Mejia73c525.23$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.698,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Nicolas Mejia59c487.24$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7756757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Nicolas Mejia63c476.2$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.192,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nicolas Mejia63c398.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.153058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Nicolas Mejia74c364.49$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6113748.9%67 W · 70 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Nicolas Mejia29c357.68$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.951,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Andres Martin37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11146932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Nicolas Mejia62c279.37$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.3741955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Nicolas Mejia59c256.03$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.031,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Andres Martin40c249.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andres Martin40c230.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.831,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Andres Martin39c214.03$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.451,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Andres Martin25c203.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Nicolas Mejia64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1528552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nicolas Mejia72c174.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.354,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Andres Martin37c162$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7350644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Nicolas Mejia62c161.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.0340264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nicolas Mejia72c155.88$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.621,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Nicolas Mejia72c155.49$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2641658.7%244 W · 172 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Andres Martin10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Nicolas Mejia71c148.53$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6148652.1%253 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Andres Martin38c146$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0699044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Andres Martin40c135.84$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.341,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Andres Martin38c131$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.451,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Andres Martin38c130$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.412152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Andres Martin13c126.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.087237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nicolas Mejia62c124.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.344,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6fa…adafbacked Andres Martin39c111.99$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6850%0 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Andres Martin42c106$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5255660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…804ebacked Andres Martin17c105.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9215514.2%22 W · 133 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-70.4%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Andres Martin38c100.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.11,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb571…effdbacked Nicolas Mejia65c97.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.11080%8 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Andres Martin30c91.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.376,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Andres Martin30c87.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.053,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1e57…ddc3backed Andres Martin18c85.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Andres Martin41c85.35$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.426349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Andres Martin36c83.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7818020.6%37 W · 143 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2237…d2c6backed Andres Martin27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdae3…cf78backed Andres Martin43c69.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Nicolas Mejia57c68.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6577047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Nicolas Mejia60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.674161%25 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Andres Martin24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.616718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x59db…2e36backed Nicolas Mejia62c64.49$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5114772.8%107 W · 40 L+19.7wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Andres Martin39c64.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2566452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Nicolas Mejia79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.292,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d31…79fbbacked Nicolas Mejia76c59.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.281361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Nicolas Mejia60c58.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5517447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Andres Martin38c58.19$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0cccbacked Nicolas Mejia60c55.17$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.179341.9%39 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d2…2be9backed Nicolas Mejia65c55.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.35848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Andres Martin30c53.76$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.317,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Nicolas Mejia61c51.72$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.087,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1297…015fbacked Andres Martin39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Andres Martin37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.52030%6 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Andres Martin37c49.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.497146.5%33 W · 38 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…145ebacked Andres Martin25c47.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.974634.8%16 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Nicolas Mejia63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.627875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2dc…f9d3backed Nicolas Mejia64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.887852.6%41 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Andres Martin32c43.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7437156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Nicolas Mejia72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.22,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Nicolas Mejia60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1647453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Nicolas Mejia66c38.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2113955.4%77 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Andres Martin37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0654434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Andres Martin30c37.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.082,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c42…41d9backed Nicolas Mejia61c37.21$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.515650%28 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…27fbbacked Nicolas Mejia68c37.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.742466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0e…8a12backed Andres Martin39c36.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nicolas Mejia67c36.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8811352.2%59 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Andres Martin41c35.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Andres Martin37c34.68$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9950731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Andres Martin37c32.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.027236.1%26 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Nicolas Mejia63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7552457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Andres Martin38c28.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.072,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1118…6f82backed Nicolas Mejia73c28.63$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.733767.6%25 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4aaf…449dbacked Nicolas Mejia77c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de1…ee53backed Nicolas Mejia63c23.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.74862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Nicolas Mejia62c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9899056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Nicolas Mejia59c19.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1131434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed Nicolas Mejia79c18.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.995064%32 W · 18 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick74cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd77…ef21backed Nicolas Mejia57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7465264.1%418 W · 234 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b74…1e21backed Nicolas Mejia60c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.675054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d00…95b2backed Nicolas Mejia79c15.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.192045%9 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.