TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2237…d2c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Cricket at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tubacked Li Tu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.5
Wuning 2: San-Hui Shin vs Maximus Jonesbacked San-Hui Shin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.88
Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneaubacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$5.04
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Oceane Dodin vs Kathinka von Deichmannbacked Kathinka von Deichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.26
Miami Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptistebacked Hailey Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Sao Paulo: Tomas Barrios vs Thiago Monteirobacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Morelia: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Shintaro Mochizuki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.02
Morelia: Nicolas Mejia vs Andres Martinbacked Andres Martin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.29
Miami Open: Terence Atmane vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$12.42
Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.53
Split: Matej Dodig vs Christian Langmobacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$40.45
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$63.41
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.54
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$160.55
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$501
Wizards vs. Knicksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$59.46
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Wichita State Shockers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.19
Washington Huskies vs. TCU Horned Frogs (W)backed Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.backed Venezuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.