Tennis · resolved market
Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34445e37102f943242af59e217664d238c3618cd5ccaefd7f5c9c16c3c4c78b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Li Tuof Keegan Smith, Li Tu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed Li Tu | 55c | 15,336$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,973.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…5104backed Keegan Smith | 69c | 14,531$10,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,025.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…307dbacked Li Tu | 60c | 5,432$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.55 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Li Tu | 66c | 4,602$3,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.14 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b52…568ebacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 4,355$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.27 | 204 | 59.3%121 W · 83 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keegan Smith | 60c | 4,184$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.93 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 3,494$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.7 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Li Tu | 56c | 3,447$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.79 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Keegan Smith | 44c | 3,037$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.12 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 2,901$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.42 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 2,392$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.61 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Li Tu | 42c | 2,373$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.2 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Keegan Smith | 71c | 2,342$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.85 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Li Tu | 59c | 2,337$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.56 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith | 40c | 2,276$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.02 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Li Tu | 75c | 2,258$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.49 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Keegan Smith | 45c | 2,217$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.4 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Li Tu | 59c | 2,161$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.02 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Keegan Smith | 70c | 2,093$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.36 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Li Tu | 61c | 1,884$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.19 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Li Tu | 33c | 1,779$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.62 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Li Tu | 38c | 1,544$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.86 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Keegan Smith | 73c | 1,490$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.66 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Keegan Smith | 70c | 1,424$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.91 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Keegan Smith | 75c | 1,318$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.83 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Keegan Smith | 70c | 1,288$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.29 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b6…3e3cbacked Keegan Smith | 51c | 1,227$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Li Tu | 32c | 1,208$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bb…a36cbacked Li Tu | 60c | 1,156$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.16 | 118 | 57.6%68 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca4…1785backed Li Tu | 65c | 1,069$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.99 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Li Tu | 46c | 1,066$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.35 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Li Tu | 56c | 1,053$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.39 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Keegan Smith | 77c | 1,024$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.09 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Keegan Smith | 53c | 1,009$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.81 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Li Tu | 59c | 1,002$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.68 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Keegan Smith | 73c | 998.03$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.11 | 331 | 63.7%211 W · 120 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Keegan Smith | 42c | 992.02$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.75 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keegan Smith | 37c | 946.46$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Keegan Smith | 41c | 941.07$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.84 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Keegan Smith | 43c | 889.82$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.62 | 182 | 50%91 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Li Tu | 61c | 859.21$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.02 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Li Tu | 55c | 847.05$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.68 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…3fadbacked Keegan Smith | 47c | 843.5$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Li Tu | 34c | 842.89$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.74 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Li Tu | 48c | 829.3$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.82 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Li Tu | 50c | 809.76$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.36 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…4f82backed Li Tu | 58c | 802.39$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 791.6$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.47 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Li Tu | 35c | 788.48$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.82 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 782$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.9 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Keegan Smith | 40c | 779.83$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.1 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Keegan Smith | 71c | 741.02$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.12 | 215 | 67.4%145 W · 70 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Li Tu | 58c | 706.54$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.09 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…fcabbacked Keegan Smith | 56c | 701.45$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.32 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Li Tu | 58c | 699.98$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.99 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Keegan Smith | 50c | 655.19$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.26 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Keegan Smith | 45c | 642.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.13 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Li Tu | 56c | 591.86$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.42 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Li Tu | 60c | 578.07$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Keegan Smith | 62c | 554.32$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.57 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Li Tu | 72c | 534.1$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 372 | 57.5%214 W · 158 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Keegan Smith | 34c | 510.46$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Keegan Smith | 42c | 506.73$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Li Tu | 58c | 501.06$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.55 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Li Tu | 53c | 489.73$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.06 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Li Tu | 62c | 474.73$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.07 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Keegan Smith | 55c | 465.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.81 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Keegan Smith | 45c | 446.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Keegan Smith | 73c | 399.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Keegan Smith | 42c | 393.36$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.21 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Keegan Smith | 47c | 389.03$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…03b8backed Keegan Smith | 52c | 373.43$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.66 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…8c0abacked Keegan Smith | 39c | 370.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Li Tu | 32c | 355.5$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Keegan Smith | 41c | 349.73$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.39 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Keegan Smith | 40c | 348.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Li Tu | 58c | 347.44$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x893d…d65bbacked Li Tu | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Keegan Smith | 42c | 338.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Li Tu | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe031…5c08backed Keegan Smith | 41c | 334.26$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 735 | 49.8%366 W · 369 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Li Tu | 60c | 324.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Keegan Smith | 47c | 321.03$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…b6c9backed Li Tu | 61c | 318.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.46 | 118 | 65.3%77 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Keegan Smith | 35c | 307.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Li Tu | 49c | 306.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…f347backed Li Tu | 32c | 299.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Li Tu | 35c | 298.55$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 617 | 52.5%324 W · 293 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Keegan Smith | 64c | 295.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.88 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Keegan Smith | 37c | 292.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.06 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith | 49c | 287.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…e9b4backed Keegan Smith | 73c | 287.43$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.79 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…8237backed Keegan Smith | 62c | 255.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 165 | 60%99 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Keegan Smith | 11c | 253$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Keegan Smith | 38c | 249.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…f17fbacked Li Tu | 60c | 247.25$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 244 | 63.5%155 W · 89 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Li Tu | 57c | 245.02$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Li Tu | 57c | 242.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Li Tu | 47c | 238.38$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.35 | 486 | 30.9%150 W · 336 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe22…b709backed Li Tu | 54c | 235.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wuning 2: Keegan Smith vs Li Tuthis page
- Keegan Smith vs. Li Tu: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Smith vs TuSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.