MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool D: Venezuela vs. Dominican Rep.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x031a9c9256af9f1f0a17536ada126b29dad4e9f17213a90a6916b6c102be133e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dominican Rep.of Venezuela, Dominican Rep.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $291,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 329 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80fe…b25bbacked Venezuela | 0c | 18,441$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Venezuela | 35c | 13,816$4,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,835 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Venezuela | 34c | 12,039$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.8 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Dominican Rep. | 65c | 10,590$6,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720.98 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Dominican Rep. | 69c | 9,357$6,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,889.28 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Venezuela | 36c | 8,431$3,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.99 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Venezuela | 16c | 7,710$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.27 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Venezuela | 33c | 7,533$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.33 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Venezuela | 35c | 7,525$2,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Venezuela | 35c | 6,072$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.41 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Dominican Rep. | 65c | 4,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.21 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Dominican Rep. | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Dominican Rep. | 64c | 3,766$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.86 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Dominican Rep. | 66c | 3,625$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Venezuela | 27c | 3,514$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…cddebacked Dominican Rep. | 68c | 3,500$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Venezuela | 4c | 2,979$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Dominican Rep. | 64c | 2,860$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.58 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f0…f002backed Venezuela | 33c | 2,566$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Venezuela | 11c | 2,502$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…78bebacked Venezuela | 25c | 2,384$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Venezuela | 11c | 2,378$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…d76abacked Dominican Rep. | 68c | 2,297$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Venezuela | 29c | 2,296$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.93 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Venezuela | 30c | 2,167$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.7 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…29ddbacked Dominican Rep. | 75c | 1,986$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Dominican Rep. | 76c | 1,965$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.84 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Venezuela | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dominican Rep. | 75c | 1,737$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…ffd8backed Dominican Rep. | 71c | 1,682$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc6…66d3backed Dominican Rep. | 61c | 1,669$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274d…42a7backed Venezuela | 26c | 1,579$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +201.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Venezuela | 23c | 1,561$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…e1febacked Venezuela | 2c | 1,540$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Venezuela | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Venezuela | 29c | 1,522$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.83 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Dominican Rep. | 66c | 1,517$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7c…8d4cbacked Venezuela | 30c | 1,425$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +161.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Dominican Rep. | 72c | 1,394$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.46 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…b348backed Dominican Rep. | 66c | 1,366$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Venezuela | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked Venezuela | 28c | 1,175$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…5882backed Venezuela | 11c | 1,039$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c3…fd7abacked Dominican Rep. | 74c | 977.4$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dominican Rep. | 73c | 937.67$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8d…4537backed Dominican Rep. | 65c | 878.42$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2a9cbacked Dominican Rep. | 69c | 820$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…e31bbacked Dominican Rep. | 66c | 758.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Dominican Rep. | 65c | 712.65$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.93 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dominican Rep. | 66c | 666.76$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.76 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Dominican Rep. | 66c | 655$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…dc38backed Venezuela | 15c | 650.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…42d8backed Dominican Rep. | 65c | 636.78$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Venezuela | 32c | 620$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Venezuela | 31c | 614.52$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Venezuela | 2c | 582.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Venezuela | 32c | 570$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ea…52dbbacked Venezuela | 20c | 506.21$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Venezuela | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Venezuela | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dominican Rep. | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Venezuela | 29c | 499.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Venezuela | 33c | 485.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a8…6c09backed Venezuela | 23c | 476.79$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…405bbacked Dominican Rep. | 69c | 472.41$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Venezuela | 28c | 472$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Venezuela | 21c | 469.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…8aa4backed Venezuela | 2c | 466.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Venezuela | 10c | 464.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Venezuela | 14c | 460.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Dominican Rep. | 65c | 459.65$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.88 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Dominican Rep. | 66c | 455.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Venezuela | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…c96ebacked Venezuela | 11c | 450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Venezuela | 28c | 447$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.66 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5391…f44abacked Dominican Rep. | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…3e75backed Dominican Rep. | 68c | 439.88$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Venezuela | 38c | 433.92$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.22 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Dominican Rep. | 70c | 430.8$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Venezuela | 7c | 428.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff3…4164backed Venezuela | 6c | 420.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Venezuela | 33c | 400$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2f…24c5backed Venezuela | 38c | 385.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Venezuela | 28c | 364$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…6bbdbacked Dominican Rep. | 66c | 357.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadc…a559backed Dominican Rep. | 67c | 352.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.53 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…398dbacked Dominican Rep. | 71c | 352.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8e…4643backed Dominican Rep. | 73c | 342.22$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Venezuela | 7c | 342$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Dominican Rep. | 75c | 329$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.26 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bc…8b3cbacked Venezuela | 36c | 328.69$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8450…f3f5backed Dominican Rep. | 66c | 327.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa149…89a0backed Venezuela | 31c | 322.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Venezuela | 5c | 316.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Venezuela | 35c | 316.45$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x687a…b84ebacked Venezuela | 32c | 314.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Dominican Rep. | 70c | 312.63$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 506 | 55.3%280 W · 226 L | +29.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…18cfbacked Venezuela | 32c | 311.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Venezuela | 31c | 310.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x495b…47b6backed Venezuela | 30c | 301.04$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.