NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d76bdccd2d21d2d67eaa62d57156b883915fd147bd6d2827fc86ca1e3468603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,282,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,707,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,282,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,977 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 605,702$290,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290,410.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Nuggets | 52c | 315,517$164,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,447.97 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Nuggets | 52c | 289,155$149,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,436.15 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…44fcbacked Nuggets | 54c | 181,756$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,756.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 121,866$58,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,495.76 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nuggets | 54c | 108,048$58,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,995.69 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 105,641$54,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,933.4 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 75,713$36,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,269.62 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Nuggets | 52c | 75,000$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,000 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 66,705$32,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,758.44 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 66,401$31,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,872.28 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 54c | 65,741$35,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,467.11 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Nuggets | 52c | 60,603$31,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,001.72 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Nuggets | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 47,729$24,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,662.76 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Nuggets | 52c | 44,388$23,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,335.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 43,108$22,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,847.17 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 43,000$22,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,790 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 41,936$9,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,656.04 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Nuggets | 48c | 39,400$18,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,488 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 35,000$15,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,791.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 33,000$16,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,089.97 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Nuggets | 47c | 30,664$14,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,118.28 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 28,391$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 211 | 37.9%80 W · 131 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 27,097$13,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,284.3 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Nuggets | 48c | 27,000$12,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,040 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Nuggets | 62c | 26,529$16,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,174.96 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 26,005$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.39 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Nuggets | 49c | 25,971$12,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,290.6 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 25,902$12,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,168.97 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 25,607$10,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.13 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 25,393$10,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,721.82 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 24,990$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 23,063$8,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,348.89 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 22,578$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.75 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nuggets | 48c | 21,694$10,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,240.17 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 21,450$10,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Nuggets | 53c | 21,402$11,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,133.78 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 21,142$6,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,723.68 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 21,123$8,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,859.79 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 20,641$10,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,055.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 20,111$10,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,658.83 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,400 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…1103backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…f13fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 19,350$9,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,094.5 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 19,126$9,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,754.4 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…d373backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 18,581$9,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,661.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 18,540$8,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.2 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed Nuggets | 53c | 18,493$9,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,691.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2580…1d56backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 17,097$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.05 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nuggets | 55c | 16,698$9,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.89 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 15,959$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 15,416$7,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,556.02 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Nuggets | 54c | 14,624$7,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,717.22 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6863…79fbbacked Nuggets | 79c | 14,558$11,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.30per pick | 76cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Nuggets | 55c | 14,300$7,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,435 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 14,300$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.99 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…4ae2backed Nuggets | 76c | 13,128$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128.07 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Nuggets | 52c | 12,997$6,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,264.44 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Nuggets | 54c | 12,554$6,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,712.73 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 12,449$4,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,540$5,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000.76 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Nuggets | 48c | 11,443$5,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,950.21 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 10,892$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.97 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 10,889$5,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516.48 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,191$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.41 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Nuggets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 9,867$4,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130.49 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 9,770$4,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.96 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Nuggets | 49c | 9,738$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,966.45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 9,600$4,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Nuggets | 74c | 9,550$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.21 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Nuggets | 53c | 9,443$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,443.4 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd606…9e01backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 9,433$4,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,555.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 9,324$4,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,614.45 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 9,124$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.44 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Nuggets | 48c | 8,977$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,668.04 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Nuggets | 79c | 8,769$6,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.72 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 8,686$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065.39 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 8,601$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d0…a31bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 8,500$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,419.96 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 8,320$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.6 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 7,842$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.17 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 33c | 7,684$2,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,501.9 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 7,675$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 7,666$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.34 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 7,588$3,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,605.36 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 7,180$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.32 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 7,106$3,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,411 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.98 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | +18.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,995$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,457.9 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 6,955$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 6,798$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.02 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc005…474bbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 6,679$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Nuggets | 78c | 6,666$5,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.