NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2228ee8e9169fa198788c9a5178dda2bf88cb989f19faac067f676be9fe1b8f2

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: Nuggetsof Nuggets, Trail Blazers
Resolved: Feb 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $60,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $64,018

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers	54c	9,588$5,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,175.08	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Nuggets	43c	5,329$2,291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,037.37	1,332	51.2%682 W · 650 L	+7.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers	57c	4,402$2,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,529.95	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets	42c	4,300$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,493.99	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets	47c	3,364$1,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,794.71	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers	53c	2,801$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,484.46	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Nuggets	47c	2,692$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,422.6	154	50.6%78 W · 76 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers	53c	2,483$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.53	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Trail Blazers	53c	2,171$1,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,150.67	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Nuggets	47c	1,909$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.94	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers	53c	1,900$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.79	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Trail Blazers	51c	1,896$967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$967	473	54.8%259 W · 214 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Nuggets	47c	1,703$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.39	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets	49c	1,700$833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$867	762	49.5%377 W · 385 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Nuggets	45c	1,622$730 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$892.07	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Trail Blazers	52c	1,600$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.99	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,548$836 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.8	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,495$807 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.08	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,354$729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728.98	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Nuggets	42c	1,247$524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.26	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Trail Blazers	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.01	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers	54c	1,189$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.06	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Nuggets	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	417	42%175 W · 242 L	-16.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Nuggets	47c	957.45$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.45	254	52.8%134 W · 120 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	49c	715.38$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.8	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Trail Blazers	52c	663.46$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344	714	49.3%352 W · 362 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d1e…effebacked Trail Blazers	51c	659.97$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.58	82	52.4%43 W · 39 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers	2c	617.06$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	1,096	40.9%448 W · 648 L	+34.3wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	47c	563.9$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.35	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Trail Blazers	51c	546.28$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.6	458	50.4%231 W · 227 L	+11.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Trail Blazers	52c	479.97$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.59	266	38.7%103 W · 163 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nuggets	48c	476.62$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.82	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc74d…8acabacked Nuggets	49c	408.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.16	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	+9.8wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x388b…25ddbacked Nuggets	42c	357.14$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.14	55	61.8%34 W · 21 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Nuggets	47c	342.54$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.07	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Nuggets	47c	340.43$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.43	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Nuggets	48c	306.36$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.31	405	46.9%190 W · 215 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Trail Blazers	55c	273.74$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.56	72	51.4%37 W · 35 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets	47c	271.75$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.7	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	47c	263.76$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.31	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Nuggets	45c	257$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.35	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets	47c	218.35$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.19	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Nuggets	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf720…66acbacked Nuggets	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+6.8wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nuggets	51c	196.64$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.64	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Nuggets	49c	195$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.45	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets	63c	170.57$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.9	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets	47c	157.77$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.81	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Nuggets	48c	156.25$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.25	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers	55c	145.31$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets	46c	137.27$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.58	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Nuggets	48c	118$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.36	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Nuggets	48c	118$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.36	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Nuggets	44c	101.2$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.2	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Nuggets	48c	100.27$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.14	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0539…0529backed Trail Blazers	51c	100.02$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.86	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Nuggets	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Nuggets	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets	47c	100$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Trail Blazers	51c	100$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Nuggets	75c	87.9$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.9	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Trail Blazers	52c	86.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	760	54.6%415 W · 345 L	+56.7wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+33.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Nuggets	46c	86.02$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.03	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x696d…f89dbacked Nuggets	50c	85$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.55	98	53.1%52 W · 46 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers	51c	83$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.72	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers	57c	82.17$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Trail Blazers	55c	75.93$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.03	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a52…06cbbacked Nuggets	73c	68.74$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.74	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e29…31c9backed Trail Blazers	55c	54.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Nuggets	74c	50.32$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.06	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers	22c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32e0…390abacked Nuggets	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Nuggets	63c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…1967backed Nuggets	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Nuggets	43c	48.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.55	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e37…b594backed Nuggets	49c	47.3$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.12	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Trail Blazers	55c	45.45$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	293	48.5%142 W · 151 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers	54c	45.32$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.47	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Nuggets	44c	45.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.34	197	54.3%107 W · 90 L	+12.3wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Nuggets	45c	44$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.24	538	39.4%212 W · 326 L	-26.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x709f…96ecbacked Nuggets	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2f…5f91backed Nuggets	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc816…4b74backed Nuggets	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf71…9f1cbacked Nuggets	46c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	110	51.8%57 W · 53 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Nuggets	46c	36.95$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.79	1,634	48.1%786 W · 848 L	+5.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Nuggets	48c	35.68$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.68	307	43%132 W · 175 L	-19.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Trail Blazers	54c	33.84$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.15	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Nuggets	49c	32.65$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.65	242	50.8%123 W · 119 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Nuggets	61c	31.02$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.04	238	45.4%108 W · 130 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Nuggets	41c	31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.29	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked Trail Blazers	58c	30.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.74	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+22%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,786	53.2%950 W · 836 L	+52.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Nuggets	46c	27.17$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.67	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers	54c	27.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Nuggets	43c	27.05$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.42	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Trail Blazers	57c	25.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.44	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Trail Blazers	55c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Trail Blazers	55c	23.27$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	548	54.2%297 W · 251 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Trail Blazers	56c	19.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	576	57.8%333 W · 243 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event