TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$612,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$613,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under48c503,545$242,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,855.4387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over52c100,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over52c75,000$39,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,999.9924650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over51c62,500$31,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,62551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over52c35,442$18,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,043.439,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Under48c30,133$14,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,328.617240.3%29 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over50c19,894$9,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,946.9738251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Over53c8,590$4,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,037.4729650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c7,195$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,456.724,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,9408153.1%43 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c5,885$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,829.164,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over52c5,633$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.4851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over53c4,973$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.632,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over52c3,333$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.8414753.1%78 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over72c2,164$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.31,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c2,159$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6a…8ec7backed Under32c2,145$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.011346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over52c2,137$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Under46c1,930$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.82944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Under13c800$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over51c666.1$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.852,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over53c665.24$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2443453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over51c557$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.046,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over64c548.34$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.413,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under49c505.05$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.4722048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a84…0e54backed Over52c461.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5414248.6%69 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c457.09$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.313,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c444.52$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.162,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under47c401.44$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.6837842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc208…e74fbacked Under48c344.05$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.147251.4%37 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under48c308.12$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.917960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91f3…0d57backed Over52c278.85$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.859348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under51c258.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9922845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f0d…9b8bbacked Under12c237.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Over49c230$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.312642.1%53 W · 73 L-11.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over54c206.4$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7127246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…05d8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002532%8 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9492750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under47c190.68$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5391148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c183.45$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.792,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5065872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Over53c150.83$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8934248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Over52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2382440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under47c125.02$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.765450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…4f18backed Under29c121.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over52c117.69$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4916947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over53c108.58$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0314557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4632450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Under30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309358.1%54 W · 39 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under51c98.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5911343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over54c88.94$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.931,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over53c74.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c74.59$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.121,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over73c61.94$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.651,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over69c60.5$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.751,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under43c59.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.716924.6%17 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over48c57.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7952552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.945251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over53c49$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.281,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Under48c46.1$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1362744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under50c45.29$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.861,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a8…3275backed Over52c42.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024038.3%92 W · 148 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over74c39.37$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3590357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfef9…67afbacked Under48c30.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.591216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-65.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over53c28.55$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.422548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e3…8796backed Under50c26.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.191770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+28.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Under48c24.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3c2…63f7backed Under48c24.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb03…ddcebacked Over54c21.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.193268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd80…7503backed Over52c21.15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.152454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Over53c20.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…e4c9backed Under52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421553.5%115 W · 100 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.219346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9316852.4%88 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over73c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.051,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.