NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f69f806e70b8c99eac992650804bfa894945da4371f7e5d8b5bc7d1c077ac8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 337.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 18c | 319.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 57c | 255.28$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 31c | 249.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 30c | 201.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 196.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 50c | 130.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 42c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 61c | 100.2$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 51c | 93.24$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 49c | 91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 34c | 90.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Under | 18c | 81.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 76.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1caf…f649backed Over | 60c | 66.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Under | 45c | 63.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cb…4a87backed Under | 46c | 59.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 70c | 36.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 415 | 56.9%236 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 29.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…3b20backed Over | 61c | 25.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Over | 79c | 20.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.