TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$398,860
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$399,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $398,860 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c143,180$74,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,102.3387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Under50c118,860$59,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,429.861,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c100,000$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over48c75,000$36,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,00024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c53,939$26,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,663.879,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Over48c43,518$20,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,547.3551844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c40,000$20,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,469.7619754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c9,094$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,653.634,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over47c7,522$3,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,986.4835450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over49c5,379$2,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.2352460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under53c4,755$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Under55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20012844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,039.9979549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c3,961$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.972,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c3,714$1,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,956.484,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over50c2,499$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.8926949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c2,366$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.613,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c2,181$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over49c2,045$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9529347.4%139 W · 154 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f1…bebdbacked Over50c1,998$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.184443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c1,523$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.388,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff1…49cebacked Over47c1,217$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.023956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Over49c1,019$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.8819958.3%116 W · 83 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Over50c1,011$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.558754%47 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c897.01$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.051,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Over50c776$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38818743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c749.9$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.062,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c728$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.8440146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under53c569.98$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.099842.9%42 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c561.16$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over50c407.18$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.5918650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf17…dc1abacked Under50c370$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1851921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9690…0467backed Over49c340$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159b…b74ebacked Over49c310$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c282.94$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.132,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over47c260$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.845646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under33c249.75$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7627747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under53c249.01$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.671,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9869…1a45backed Under51c244.18$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.534447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c211.28$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.791,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10684150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under54c199.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9922845.2%103 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c198.28$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.112,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over48c196.24$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0878648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c184.01$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.93,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over66c183.67$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.451,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc68a…1310backed Under51c163$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7230641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Over46c149.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9832346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Over49c146.94$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9413045.4%59 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8f…3749backed Under51c136$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c130$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.956547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc174…23f1backed Under51c128$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Under51c124.93$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7834248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under50c124.87$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4491148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Over52c123.08$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.083925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82f6…1848backed Over47c119.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1512152.1%63 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c116.56$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4592750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35bb…05febacked Under51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under44c111.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75b1…2e30backed Under51c111$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa139…f574backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.043847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c100.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2341354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4932450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53d7…0b48backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505743.9%25 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017845.5%81 W · 97 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508651.2%44 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over46c99.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9933949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under52c95.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c94.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under52c84.9$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1523453%124 W · 110 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under53c75.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over49c75$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2543544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9237755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Under51c67.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.314557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Over46c59.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2852552%273 W · 252 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c59.62$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.711,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022756.8%129 W · 98 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under53c55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.159758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over49c53.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.641,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.568645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed Under51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.510069%69 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x819a…4b03backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514151.8%73 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under52c49$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.481,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba0…811dbacked Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.082147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x135c…0c80backed Under54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x855f…4954backed Over47c46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc036…7df5backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…6324backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.822839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+38.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac5f…eb06backed Under55c38.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x007f…fb6cbacked Under53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9973…cc32backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Under53c36.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4821948.9%107 W · 112 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.