NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28fbf0567b44366be865c450250379b377c790cc09813cae4edbc8c073a48320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 8,231$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,860.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 52c | 6,750$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.11 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 56c | 1,819$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.48 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,744$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,658$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.38 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 607.52$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.06 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 44c | 607.2$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.17 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Over | 52c | 538.46$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 532$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 279.42$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 276.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 44c | 229.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 202.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.22 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4513…3449backed Under | 52c | 192.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 56c | 149.09$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Over | 50c | 129.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 47c | 122.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Under | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Over | 53c | 90.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 82.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 55c | 82.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 49c | 76.21$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 51c | 53.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…111bbacked Over | 52c | 53.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 48.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 52c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 46c | 34.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 49c | 30.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Over | 55c | 23.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 22.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edf…97a1backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 69c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 239.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Nuggets won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5No won
- Nuggets vs. Trail BlazersNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 240.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 241.5Over won
- Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 242.5Over won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Nuggets won
- Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)Nuggets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.