NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaf23ecb3a388044254c240a99c6a1e726aea05df4b73cc7bd7bab91c88cadab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Kings, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $490,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 321 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Kings | 41c | 99,677$40,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,913.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 74c | 96,133$70,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,382.88 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Kings | 52c | 36,810$19,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,141.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 60c | 32,460$19,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,025.74 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Magic | 57c | 23,549$13,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,024.87 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 48c | 20,627$9,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,665.35 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Kings | 48c | 18,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,640 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Kings | 44c | 17,756$7,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,801.24 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Kings | 36c | 15,000$5,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,449.96 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Magic | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Magic | 67c | 11,300$7,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,751.1 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Magic | 52c | 10,312$5,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,943.76 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Magic | 51c | 9,209$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,512.37 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 50c | 8,983$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,491.36 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 48c | 8,400$4,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…6c50backed Kings | 53c | 6,451$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 47c | 5,959$2,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.44 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Magic | 51c | 5,915$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.98 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Kings | 55c | 5,222$2,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.51 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Kings | 21c | 5,001$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Kings | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Kings | 52c | 5,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.97 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Kings | 48c | 4,170$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.6 | 229 | 55.9%128 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 49c | 3,987$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.77 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Kings | 29c | 3,798$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.83 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Kings | 49c | 3,573$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Kings | 50c | 3,500$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.98 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 46c | 3,108$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.65 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Kings | 24c | 2,965$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Magic | 73c | 2,684$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.17 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 17c | 2,600$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Magic | 51c | 2,502$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.17 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Kings | 42c | 2,372$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…0c01backed Magic | 48c | 2,144$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaac…8b6fbacked Magic | 48c | 2,140$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Magic | 65c | 2,137$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.85 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5e…e567backed Magic | 49c | 2,129$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Magic | 48c | 2,031$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.25 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.61 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Magic | 50c | 1,903$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.31 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0870backed Kings | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…2b45backed Magic | 48c | 1,871$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Magic | 50c | 1,691$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.35 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb63backed Kings | 53c | 1,679$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Kings | 50c | 1,650$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.99 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…570cbacked Magic | 52c | 1,640$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Kings | 30c | 1,531$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.09 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5122…791ebacked Magic | 54c | 1,522$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Magic | 49c | 1,505$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.05 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Kings | 25c | 1,500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Magic | 72c | 1,489$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.85 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Magic | 56c | 1,434$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.58 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed Kings | 54c | 1,278$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Kings | 49c | 1,216$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 58c | 1,163$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.13 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 12c | 1,112$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.19 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x376d…3895backed Magic | 48c | 1,083$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Kings | 15c | 1,026$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Kings | 13c | 999.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Kings | 50c | 961.53$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.77 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…ef8bbacked Kings | 39c | 937.5$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Magic | 47c | 929.73$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.48 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Magic | 50c | 828.18$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.49 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 50c | 820.99$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.78 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Magic | 73c | 820$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Kings | 39c | 814.85$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.34 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 49c | 812.5$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 75c | 780.7$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.11 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…97d9backed Magic | 66c | 753.95$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Magic | 50c | 752.01$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.01 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 46c | 719.92$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.16 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Magic | 58c | 693.12$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.11 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d2…cfb1backed Kings | 51c | 671.61$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 40c | 622.71$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9a…529abacked Magic | 49c | 622.45$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Magic | 48c | 609.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 61c | 608.72$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.21 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Kings | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Kings | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Kings | 10c | 597.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 52c | 575.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Kings | 50c | 558.14$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.07 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Kings | 50c | 525$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Kings | 42c | 500$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Magic | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Kings | 48c | 499.99$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Magic | 48c | 477.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.45 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…80dabacked Kings | 53c | 471.02$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Magic | 50c | 457.82$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.31 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Magic | 51c | 432$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.68 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kings | 50c | 419$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.5 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Magic | 51c | 404.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d8…b86abacked Magic | 48c | 403$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…58fcbacked Magic | 48c | 392.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Magic | 48c | 345.54$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 51c | 334$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.