NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd2ddcfe8f85cc4f291edc4819af03826945b2f6dc3d85138dd999e59744743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wildof Wild, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 369 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Wild | 42c | 165,000$69,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,699.75 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Avalanche | 58c | 136,156$78,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,970.72 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 18,000$10,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,440 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Avalanche | 58c | 12,193$7,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,072.02 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wild | 43c | 10,513$4,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,029.1 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 10,085$5,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.08 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Avalanche | 57c | 9,200$5,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,243.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Avalanche | 58c | 8,103$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wild | 42c | 7,352$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,260.95 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Avalanche | 5c | 7,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 43c | 6,666$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.62 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,796$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.61 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,001$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.72 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 42c | 5,000$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Wild | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,849.98 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Avalanche | 0c | 4,988$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 58c | 4,810$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.01 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wild | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.16 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Wild | 42c | 4,126$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.94 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 63c | 4,087$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.58 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Avalanche | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,780$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.85 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Avalanche | 58c | 3,510$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 43c | 3,243$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.75 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wild | 43c | 3,163$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.48 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Wild | 63c | 3,090$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e20…b6b5backed Wild | 43c | 3,022$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.26 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wild | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,555$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.62 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wild | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wild | 42c | 2,495$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.15 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche | 36c | 2,418$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.03 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 4c | 2,239$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 64c | 2,196$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.35 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Wild | 60c | 2,155$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.76 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 71c | 1,881$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.24 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 41c | 1,846$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.54 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…cd50backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,549$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,513$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.54 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Wild | 43c | 1,379$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.29 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Wild | 68c | 1,333$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x394e…23d2backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,328$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Avalanche | 39c | 1,193$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.12 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Wild | 44c | 1,191$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.26 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wild | 57c | 1,081$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.59 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,074$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.89 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 36c | 1,039$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.12 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Wild | 43c | 1,024$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.03 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Wild | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Avalanche | 56c | 891.85$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.44 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7519…16c1backed Avalanche | 58c | 868.9$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Avalanche | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Wild | 68c | 855.86$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Wild | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Avalanche | 58c | 799.25$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.03 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Avalanche | 31c | 783$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.11 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 58c | 754.31$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Wild | 43c | 754$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.78 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Avalanche | 43c | 733.82$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wild | 67c | 731$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.23 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Wild | 48c | 718.23$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Avalanche | 56c | 715.22$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.52 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Avalanche | 58c | 690.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.43 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 28c | 689.4$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Avalanche | 57c | 684.43$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.13 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wild | 42c | 673.27$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Avalanche | 2c | 662.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Avalanche | 20c | 658.2$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.9 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Avalanche | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Avalanche | 51c | 585$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6839…0dc5backed Avalanche | 58c | 554.09$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche | 57c | 543.86$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 51c | 518.4$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Avalanche | 34c | 504.67$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Avalanche | 58c | 504.64$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a18…a2efbacked Avalanche | 58c | 502.05$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…cdb2backed Avalanche | 58c | 500$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.34 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Avalanche | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Wild | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…abb0backed Wild | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wild | 42c | 499.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.97 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d7…2667backed Avalanche | 58c | 460.43$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Wild | 68c | 440.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…2bd7backed Wild | 43c | 439.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Avalanche | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…dcc8backed Wild | 43c | 434.23$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…3096backed Wild | 43c | 432.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Avalanche | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…553dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 423.26$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.58 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed21…8b3dbacked Avalanche | 24c | 413.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2057…0629backed Avalanche | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Wild | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Avalanche | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Wild | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Wild | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4649…4500backed Avalanche | 58c | 376.6$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.43 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Avalanche | 58c | 374.14$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.