TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x72b4…cdb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
127
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category NBA at 50 out of 100; worst UFC at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT6150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.08
Blue Jackets vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$73.14
Avalanche vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.39
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.1
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Lightning vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.15
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.48
Rangers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.04
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.94
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.12
Penguins vs. Hurricanesbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.45
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$39.75
Predators vs. Jetsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.55
Wild vs. Blackhawksbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.68
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Panthers vs. Canucksbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.24
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.92
Islanders vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.32
Flames vs. Red Wingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Kings vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.23
Maple Leafs vs. Wildbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$135.93
Ducks vs. Canadiensbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$285
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$12.69
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.36
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT5356.6%30 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$37.8
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.5
Pistons vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.5
Grizzlies vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$96
Trail Blazers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Jazz vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$51.25
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.4
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.37
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.86
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$71.05
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41%+$145.37
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$21.87
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$259.8
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$186.01
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.66
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.28
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$63.9
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Michael Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
UFC Fight Night: Austen Lane vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Iwo Baraniewski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.3
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Axel Sola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.86
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Oumar Sy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.78
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.59
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$91.8
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+58.7%+$28.12
UFC 326: Cody Durden vs. Nyamjargal Tumendemberel (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$44.46
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$265
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Idiris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.16
All 13 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.