TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Nora Cornolle (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Edwardsof Edwards, Cornolle
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,821
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$170,907

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,821 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Cornolle27c27,783$7,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,495.3919544.6%87 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Edwards73c18,504$13,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,999.9714558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Cornolle26c12,484$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.849636.5%35 W · 61 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Edwards64c9,979$6,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.2915939.6%63 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedea…8b39backed Cornolle1c9,109$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.094042.5%17 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Edwards51c6,761$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,312.898434.5%29 W · 55 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Edwards73c6,630$4,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.3414530.3%44 W · 101 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Edwards74c6,555$4,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,704.328849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Edwards74c6,500$4,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,67517055.3%94 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Cornolle25c5,499$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.6330039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a24…4a1fbacked Edwards75c4,907$3,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.8520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-73.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Cornolle25c4,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.996738.8%26 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Cornolle45c3,986$1,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.8513453%71 W · 63 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Cornolle25c3,921$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.0215641%64 W · 92 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…e270backed Cornolle26c2,793$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.052532%8 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf35f…64c5backed Edwards76c2,645$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.684100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Cornolle33c2,495$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.623943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cornolle33c2,366$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.9853956.6%305 W · 234 L-2.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Edwards75c2,300$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5754981.6%40 W · 9 L+7.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+22.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Cornolle27c2,255$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.8220233.7%68 W · 134 L+0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb46a…683bbacked Cornolle25c2,043$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf81…80cebacked Edwards74c1,917$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.311163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Edwards62c1,896$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.855541.8%23 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Edwards61c1,870$1,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.711154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cornolle21c1,567$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0733132%106 W · 225 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Edwards73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40535664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Cornolle3c1,500$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49446.8%3 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Cornolle26c1,474$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.112240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Cornolle49c1,432$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.8729151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Edwards75c1,400$1,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35536655.2%202 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Edwards73c1,375$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4230964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cornolle25c1,364$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.957237.5%27 W · 45 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Cornolle27c1,123$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.887160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f22…6482backed Edwards74c1,084$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.979756.7%55 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x011d…3d2fbacked Cornolle27c1,056$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.99746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Edwards64c1,013$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6822438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked Cornolle24c1,011$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.531127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Edwards75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Cornolle24c880.37$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.297343.8%32 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Cornolle23c880.13$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Cornolle45c805.94$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.4837754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Cornolle25c688.02$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.182227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Edwards74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.686250%31 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01ba…d35fbacked Cornolle37c675.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+118.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Cornolle33c655.61$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.888840.9%36 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Edwards64c642.44$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7127448.2%132 W · 142 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeca9…f74dbacked Edwards75c599.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Edwards75c599.98$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15333948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Edwards53c550$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.55736.8%21 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa32…e0dabacked Edwards74c516.19$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Cornolle28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408650%43 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Edwards74c462.55$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.5514543.4%63 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Edwards62c459.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.287154.9%39 W · 32 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bcf…e964backed Edwards66c444$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.962171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Edwards73c437.63$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1614551%74 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Edwards73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.9611364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bce…6c1dbacked Edwards74c405.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.776569.2%45 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Edwards73c382.81$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5315556.8%88 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Edwards74c376.93$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9318644.1%82 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Cornolle28c304$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.125149%25 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Cornolle25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.136240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Edwards73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.976159%36 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Edwards74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.275950.8%30 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f7…ff9cbacked Cornolle25c254.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Cornolle28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5613636%49 W · 87 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x725d…e49abacked Edwards53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+38%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed Edwards75c184.21$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4818160.8%110 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Cornolle30c180.09$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.631136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd068…c3bfbacked Edwards58c172.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe160…b6b9backed Edwards76c171.47$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4714442.4%61 W · 83 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Edwards72c157.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6456450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed Edwards55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.51060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Cornolle25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.514827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Cornolle32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487921.5%17 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Edwards69c142$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.025062%31 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a68…98aebacked Edwards76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5826569.4%184 W · 81 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Edwards76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e2d…a9b1backed Edwards70c130$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.316258.6%95 W · 67 L+12.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64ad…41d5backed Edwards54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.631931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-41%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Cornolle30c127$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.875044%22 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Edwards72c125.3$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.085263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19b8…4880backed Edwards73c122.96$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cornolle26c118.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.320139.8%80 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77c0…af29backed Edwards68c117.65$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.654630.4%14 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Edwards75c116.7$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.755650%28 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6470…aac7backed Edwards70c115.06$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.712166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Edwards51c110$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Edwards76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.269558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Edwards76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2411057.3%63 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Edwards73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Edwards75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257671.1%54 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Cornolle28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Edwards73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed Cornolle24c96.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0724847.2%117 W · 131 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Cornolle25c91.2$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.84228.6%12 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7521…0817backed Cornolle39c89.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.85837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8982…59fbbacked Cornolle25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206055%33 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Edwards75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202673.1%19 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2c7…5c52backed Edwards76c78.95$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.952864.3%18 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Edwards75c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.685657.1%32 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.