UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ffdfe18ad31b07f2ebbeab6f19747e56a690d3d3508ceb8b40b13b34c09fe79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Christian Leroy Duncanof Roman Dolidze, Christian Leroy Duncan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $540,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,784 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 57,969$12,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,324.18 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 50,000$38,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,612.02 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Roman Dolidze | 24c | 46,188$11,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,085.09 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 37,500$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 24,985$19,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,967.36 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 20,173$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600.99 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 20,172$15,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.93 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Roman Dolidze | 22c | 16,764$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.1 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Roman Dolidze | 22c | 11,520$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.62 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…fd52backed Roman Dolidze | 3c | 9,870$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.76 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Roman Dolidze | 22c | 8,586$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 8,000$6,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.71 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…0386backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 7,403$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.73 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 6,600$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Roman Dolidze | 22c | 6,129$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Roman Dolidze | 5c | 4,992$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.27 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Roman Dolidze | 20c | 4,558$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.84 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Roman Dolidze | 5c | 4,198$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Roman Dolidze | 6c | 4,100$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623c…122fbacked Roman Dolidze | 10c | 4,004$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…07c3backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 3,847$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfa…190bbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 3,800$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Roman Dolidze | 24c | 3,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Roman Dolidze | 28c | 3,530$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Roman Dolidze | 27c | 3,128$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.1 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 3,039$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.89 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Roman Dolidze | 21c | 2,876$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.97 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Roman Dolidze | 28c | 2,776$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Roman Dolidze | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…767dbacked Roman Dolidze | 3c | 2,233$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 2,100$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.81 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Roman Dolidze | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 1,746$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…6220backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 1,619$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 1,579$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.95 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 1,550$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 1,549$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Roman Dolidze | 20c | 1,532$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.9 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 1,295$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.95 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Roman Dolidze | 25c | 1,244$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.06 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ee…47c8backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 1,143$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Roman Dolidze | 22c | 1,132$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.63 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Roman Dolidze | 29c | 1,026$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Roman Dolidze | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 79c | 985.76$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 978$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Roman Dolidze | 23c | 950$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 888.16$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Roman Dolidze | 19c | 837.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Roman Dolidze | 22c | 823.77$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.35 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Roman Dolidze | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 776.38$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca0f…780bbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 773.68$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Roman Dolidze | 8c | 766.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Roman Dolidze | 23c | 762.37$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.35 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 79c | 761.12$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x697f…b756backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 739.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.31 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…e175backed Roman Dolidze | 4c | 723.53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 631$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.75 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 603.99$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Roman Dolidze | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Roman Dolidze | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…6533backed Roman Dolidze | 25c | 591.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c93…f0f6backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 581.32$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed Roman Dolidze | 26c | 576.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 558.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 536.66$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.07 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 505.3$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.24 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +10.4wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Roman Dolidze | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Roman Dolidze | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 264 | 51.9%137 W · 127 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fd1bbacked Roman Dolidze | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 470$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 449.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 75c | 447.26$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 443.62$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 78c | 438.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Roman Dolidze | 16c | 435.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Roman Dolidze | 28c | 422.23$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed Roman Dolidze | 24c | 418.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed Roman Dolidze | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Roman Dolidze | 21c | 396$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 76c | 390.13$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.63 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9639…4a68backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 384.31$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…1e5cbacked Roman Dolidze | 16c | 384.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 80c | 370$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.37 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Christian Leroy Duncan | 77c | 363.64$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Christian Leroy Duncan | 74c | 354.25$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Roman Dolidze | 21c | 339$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…4ce6backed Roman Dolidze | 18c | 325$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Roman Dolidze | 23c | 320$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Roman Dolidze | 22c | 318.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Christian Leroy Duncan win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.