UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb1e6550f79b6b644fb60e465fb267e9d6a947b998a339b42b9856c9e32ac3b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idirisof Osbourne, Idiris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $527,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $527,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Idiris | 56c | 88,128$49,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,776.13 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Osbourne | 45c | 80,969$36,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,781.23 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Osbourne | 45c | 70,000$31,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,399.85 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Osbourne | 44c | 68,400$30,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,096 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Idiris | 55c | 45,000$24,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,249.99 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Idiris | 55c | 40,003$22,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,001.6 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Idiris | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,399.99 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Idiris | 55c | 22,898$12,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,304.14 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Idiris | 54c | 22,844$12,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,430.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Idiris | 55c | 22,227$12,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,102.23 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Osbourne | 44c | 19,690$8,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,663.6 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Osbourne | 44c | 18,805$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.73 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Osbourne | 2c | 16,670$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.7 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Osbourne | 46c | 15,800$7,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,259.82 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2b73backed Osbourne | 45c | 11,111$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Osbourne | 45c | 11,102$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.71 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Idiris | 56c | 10,714$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.29 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Osbourne | 45c | 9,709$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.06 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Idiris | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Osbourne | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Osbourne | 14c | 5,938$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.57 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Idiris | 53c | 5,678$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.81 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Idiris | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Idiris | 67c | 4,837$3,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.64 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Osbourne | 46c | 4,769$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…099dbacked Idiris | 55c | 3,783$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Osbourne | 43c | 3,600$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Osbourne | 34c | 3,281$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.25 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Idiris | 55c | 3,115$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.24 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Osbourne | 46c | 3,014$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.44 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Idiris | 56c | 2,853$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…6280backed Osbourne | 44c | 2,720$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.8 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Idiris | 55c | 2,672$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.79 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Idiris | 55c | 2,517$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.05 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Idiris | 54c | 2,370$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.2 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed Idiris | 56c | 2,301$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…153dbacked Osbourne | 46c | 2,194$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Idiris | 55c | 2,100$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Osbourne | 1c | 2,041$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Idiris | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Osbourne | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Osbourne | 45c | 1,858$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.9 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Idiris | 55c | 1,764$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Osbourne | 45c | 1,621$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.54 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Idiris | 53c | 1,621$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Osbourne | 45c | 1,476$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.2 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Idiris | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Idiris | 64c | 1,249$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Osbourne | 44c | 1,172$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.31 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Osbourne | 29c | 1,149$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Osbourne | 45c | 1,018$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.54 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…38e2backed Idiris | 71c | 1,005$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Osbourne | 44c | 999.94$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.97 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Idiris | 53c | 929.32$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.78 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Idiris | 54c | 925$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Osbourne | 29c | 910$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.9 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Osbourne | 43c | 835.22$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.95 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Osbourne | 32c | 816.74$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.11 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Osbourne | 12c | 816$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Idiris | 55c | 763.64$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Idiris | 57c | 750$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…f14bbacked Idiris | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Osbourne | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…5130backed Idiris | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Osbourne | 29c | 666.93$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.45 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Osbourne | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…2390backed Osbourne | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Osbourne | 7c | 616$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Osbourne | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Idiris | 56c | 553.57$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Idiris | 58c | 532.55$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcd…7ab2backed Idiris | 55c | 526$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Osbourne | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…cdb2backed Idiris | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…abb0backed Osbourne | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Osbourne | 46c | 499.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idiris | 54c | 497.76$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.97 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Osbourne | 27c | 490.65$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda40…6938backed Osbourne | 46c | 480$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbd…2a12backed Osbourne | 3c | 477.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…ff0ebacked Osbourne | 42c | 463.87$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Idiris | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Idiris | 58c | 436.52$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.34 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9756…1a82backed Idiris | 55c | 430$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Osbourne | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Idiris | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Osbourne | 39c | 380.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Idiris | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…a699backed Osbourne | 22c | 335.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ad…a5cabacked Idiris | 61c | 328.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Idiris | 54c | 326.65$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…b132backed Idiris | 55c | 326.24$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…503abacked Osbourne | 47c | 322.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.25 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Idiris | 73c | 315.28$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Idiris | 54c | 315.07$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Idiris | 55c | 306.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Osbourne | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Osbourne | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Osbourne | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Osbourne | 45c | 298.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris (Flyweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.