NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31cda9282d0bf4f4b53fc3a9d6181179f8f76237c57e0845fa0ea1b8050c5fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Bruins, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,916 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 539 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf195…8057backed Red Wings | 53c | 194,258$102,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,871.51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Bruins | 47c | 126,473$59,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,063.56 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Bruins | 47c | 63,830$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,829.75 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Red Wings | 53c | 62,750$33,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,257.45 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Bruins | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 47c | 24,688$11,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,084.64 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 51c | 20,312$10,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,382.56 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Bruins | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Red Wings | 53c | 16,000$8,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,480 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Bruins | 47c | 14,800$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 57c | 14,771$8,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,363.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Red Wings | 53c | 10,975$5,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.75 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 52c | 10,640$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,532.84 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Red Wings | 62c | 10,622$6,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,582.37 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Bruins | 48c | 10,521$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,520.81 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bruins | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bruins | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.98 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bruins | 42c | 7,806$3,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.15 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Bruins | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Bruins | 43c | 5,614$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.91 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Bruins | 64c | 5,121$3,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.49 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Red Wings | 21c | 5,012$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.43 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 53c | 4,761$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.32 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Bruins | 47c | 4,444$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,355.3 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 43c | 4,443$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.56 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Red Wings | 53c | 4,285$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.3 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Red Wings | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.99 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Bruins | 71c | 3,988$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.72 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Bruins | 47c | 3,500$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Bruins | 40c | 3,058$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.07 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Bruins | 47c | 3,012$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.84 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Bruins | 48c | 3,008$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.33 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Bruins | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Bruins | 49c | 2,931$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.44 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Bruins | 47c | 2,646$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.58 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bruins | 47c | 2,594$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.84 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Red Wings | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bruins | 44c | 2,217$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.95 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bruins | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.65 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Bruins | 48c | 2,092$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.89 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Wings | 64c | 1,958$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.95 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Bruins | 54c | 1,912$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.34 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Bruins | 47c | 1,892$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.73 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,581$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.18 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 46c | 1,562$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.38 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Red Wings | 79c | 1,510$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.95 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,506$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.42 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,493$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.29 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,422$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bruins | 48c | 1,413$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Bruins | 46c | 1,373$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.96 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Bruins | 47c | 1,288$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.64 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Bruins | 45c | 1,183$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.83 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.81 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,063$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.39 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Bruins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Bruins | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked Bruins | 57c | 1,014$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Bruins | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bruins | 31c | 984.27$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.09 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Red Wings | 54c | 932.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Bruins | 46c | 879.99$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Red Wings | 68c | 877.03$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Red Wings | 69c | 870.53$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Red Wings | 70c | 861.28$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Red Wings | 53c | 824$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.72 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Red Wings | 54c | 809.6$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Red Wings | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Red Wings | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Red Wings | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Red Wings | 53c | 798.59$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Red Wings | 54c | 782$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x971d…f598backed Red Wings | 53c | 776$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.28 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Red Wings | 61c | 722$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.9 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Red Wings | 53c | 718$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.54 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Bruins | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7d3abacked Bruins | 48c | 700$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…90d3backed Red Wings | 52c | 682$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce63…b7b2backed Bruins | 48c | 682$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…e9fabacked Red Wings | 53c | 680$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3361…3803backed Red Wings | 53c | 677$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf180…4b84backed Red Wings | 53c | 664$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.92 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…5741backed Red Wings | 54c | 653$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…d897backed Red Wings | 53c | 650$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397d…32a2backed Bruins | 48c | 630$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Bruins | 48c | 628.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Bruins | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Red Wings | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Bruins | 47c | 600$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.