NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be90ca1e0a6a950ec5ee6ed3b8d06f1946394ce1ea597cd1aa4083df38dc7fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,541 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 55c | 7,526$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.81 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 3,363$1,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.35 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.85 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 55c | 2,620$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.82 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 45c | 2,089$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.52 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 672.72$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 45c | 649.7$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.36 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 44c | 585.97$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.23 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 34c | 511.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.01 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 506.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.35 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 59c | 502.85$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 50c | 495.97$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.15 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 36c | 390$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 64c | 330.4$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 210$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d100backed Over | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 56c | 176.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.36 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 159.04$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 156.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Under | 19c | 139.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 43c | 113.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 60c | 113$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 58c | 112.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 66c | 94.17$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 72c | 70.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 69.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 66c | 61.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 37c | 59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 24c | 54.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 46c | 45.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 53c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 30c | 36.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 55c | 34.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 72c | 32.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…3287backed Under | 56c | 30.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Over | 55c | 29.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Over | 55c | 28.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 42c | 26.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Under | 42c | 26.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 60c | 25.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. Red WingsBruins won
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.