UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b9f7f4e76b9ca2d7cf135632a6ca5e1ee90db2307421dc6a71e07146a80a7c2

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mason Jonesof Mason Jones, Axel Sola
Resolved: Mar 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $645,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,326 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 562 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Mason Jones	56c	162,905$90,923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,981.65	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Axel Sola	47c	144,105$67,342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67,342.25	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+5.1wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Axel Sola	42c	103,119$42,849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,849.42	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Axel Sola	42c	37,065$15,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,550.3	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Mason Jones	58c	35,556$20,622 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,933.35	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mason Jones	54c	33,661$18,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,365.09	88	48.9%43 W · 45 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Mason Jones	62c	27,117$16,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,226.84	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	+2.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Mason Jones	54c	20,000$10,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,200	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Mason Jones	60c	20,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,000	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mason Jones	64c	17,821$11,399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,421.52	87	54%47 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Axel Sola	40c	17,238$6,895 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,895.34	115	54.8%63 W · 52 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Axel Sola	28c	15,572$4,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,434.31	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3846…9742backed Mason Jones	59c	15,000$8,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,150	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.15per pick	65cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Mason Jones	57c	14,370$8,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,179.19	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Axel Sola	10c	12,293$1,177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,176.72	159	39.6%63 W · 96 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Mason Jones	58c	12,047$7,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,033.04	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mason Jones	57c	11,333$6,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,893.17	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Axel Sola	43c	10,259$4,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,448.83	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Mason Jones	58c	10,000$5,816 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,183.98	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Axel Sola	41c	10,000$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Axel Sola	56c	9,999$5,599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,599.43	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mason Jones	59c	9,000$5,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,689.94	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Axel Sola	43c	8,375$3,601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,601.06	59	55.9%33 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…b8f1backed Axel Sola	43c	8,322$3,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,597	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Axel Sola	43c	8,094$3,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,482.71	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.22per pick	58cpaid	+33%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Axel Sola	40c	8,077$3,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,225.16	145	51%74 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Axel Sola	41c	5,000$2,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,049.34	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mason Jones	54c	5,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,299.99	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Axel Sola	41c	4,964$2,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,023.02	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8de…8c52backed Axel Sola	41c	4,957$2,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Axel Sola	41c	4,320$1,771 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,771.09	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…afadbacked Mason Jones	54c	4,086$2,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,870.83	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Axel Sola	43c	4,015$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.25	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Mason Jones	53c	4,000$2,120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,880	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Mason Jones	57c	4,000$2,280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,720	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-3.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Axel Sola	43c	3,500$1,505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505	64	56.3%36 W · 28 L	+7.2wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mason Jones	79c	3,167$2,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.24	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd72…b6c6backed Axel Sola	33c	3,044$1,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Mason Jones	60c	3,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Axel Sola	35c	2,852$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Axel Sola	17c	2,735$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.45	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Axel Sola	42c	2,708$1,137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.04	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…4652backed Axel Sola	42c	2,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	63	54%34 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9948…47e7backed Axel Sola	42c	2,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Mason Jones	61c	2,185$1,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$844.31	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Axel Sola	42c	2,000$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Mason Jones	59c	2,000$1,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Axel Sola	42c	1,886$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798.02	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-42%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb425…c80bbacked Axel Sola	47c	1,838$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.31	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee7…6760backed Axel Sola	44c	1,827$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$803.8	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Axel Sola	38c	1,761$677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.1	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Axel Sola	43c	1,744$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$749.9	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8ba…bbb6backed Mason Jones	59c	1,692$998 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.52	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	-6.6wins	-0.19per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Mason Jones	56c	1,667$930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$736.66	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Axel Sola	42c	1,660$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	142	37.3%53 W · 89 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bc…0f85backed Mason Jones	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$705	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	58cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Mason Jones	53c	1,500$795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.98	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37a4…72a9backed Mason Jones	58c	1,429$829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Axel Sola	32c	1,425$456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456	208	37%77 W · 131 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Mason Jones	59c	1,356$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$555.93	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mason Jones	47c	1,320$619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.19	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	+16.3wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Axel Sola	19c	1,270$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.44	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe64f…7d71backed Axel Sola	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b61…599cbacked Axel Sola	40c	1,244$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.20per pick	55cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Mason Jones	59c	1,203$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.39	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…d234backed Axel Sola	41c	1,200$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Mason Jones	56c	1,177$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$514.58	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Axel Sola	19c	1,139$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.8	224	38.4%86 W · 138 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Axel Sola	46c	1,128$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe54…9c93backed Axel Sola	41c	1,085$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Mason Jones	56c	1,052$592 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.67	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	60cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed Axel Sola	43c	1,042$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.06	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.3wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Axel Sola	42c	1,005$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Mason Jones	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Mason Jones	61c	1,000$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.85	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mason Jones	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Mason Jones	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Axel Sola	44c	987.8$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2417…86b1backed Axel Sola	42c	952.38$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Axel Sola	43c	930$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Mason Jones	77c	911.73$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.73	113	64.6%73 W · 40 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Mason Jones	80c	888.99$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.8	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Mason Jones	44c	873$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.88	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Axel Sola	45c	825.77$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.62	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Axel Sola	42c	797$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.6	75	28%21 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Axel Sola	10c	788.33$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.82	331	32%106 W · 225 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Axel Sola	40c	776.99$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.79	238	50.4%120 W · 118 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63cc…1649backed Axel Sola	20c	776.8$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.39	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Mason Jones	54c	756.01$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.77	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Mason Jones	56c	715.52$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.52	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e3…1080backed Axel Sola	16c	712.49$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.52	57	36.8%21 W · 36 L	-6.7wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Mason Jones	54c	700$378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$322	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Axel Sola	45c	700$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Mason Jones	58c	686$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.43	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5f…6851backed Mason Jones	59c	675.96$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.96	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed Axel Sola	41c	675.96$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	32cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Mason Jones	63c	670.27$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.11	155	56.8%88 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Mason Jones	61c	650$395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255.5	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Mason Jones	62c	649.67$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.81	155	40.6%63 W · 92 L	-7.3wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Axel Sola	39c	625.19$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.83	92	40.2%37 W · 55 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event