NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd05ff51085188b8e1e93443d70802f5799df7743c800334d904e325b94bcd430
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Flames, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $533,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,212 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 517 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Red Wings | 62c | 103,574$64,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,358 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Flames | 38c | 100,000$38,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,000 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 56c | 95,874$53,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,779.74 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flames | 40c | 67,953$27,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,470.09 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Red Wings | 41c | 59,200$24,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,928 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Red Wings | 62c | 27,438$17,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,426.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Red Wings | 62c | 20,858$12,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,881.7 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 63c | 20,000$12,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,499.95 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Red Wings | 41c | 12,311$5,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,263.49 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82f8…394dbacked Flames | 38c | 10,811$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.93 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Flames | 38c | 9,091$3,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.82 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Red Wings | 63c | 7,937$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.51 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Red Wings | 41c | 7,612$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.13 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 62c | 7,494$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,847.65 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flames | 26c | 6,269$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.96 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 38c | 5,848$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.06 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…4f31backed Red Wings | 62c | 5,804$3,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,205.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 38c | 5,559$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.84 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flames | 38c | 5,490$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.26 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flames | 37c | 5,279$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.86 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…84edbacked Red Wings | 62c | 5,006$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Flames | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.97 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Flames | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.93 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Red Wings | 63c | 4,660$2,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.24 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…b77ebacked Flames | 38c | 4,283$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flames | 37c | 3,899$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.51 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Red Wings | 62c | 3,880$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 36c | 3,671$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.66 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Red Wings | 41c | 3,609$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.29 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Red Wings | 62c | 3,333$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.65 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 63c | 3,327$2,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,272$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.78 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,265$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,212$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.56 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 62c | 3,200$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.84 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 65c | 3,084$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.38 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked Flames | 38c | 2,481$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings | 63c | 2,400$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 2,300$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Flames | 38c | 2,300$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.98 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Red Wings | 61c | 2,281$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.4 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Red Wings | 62c | 2,269$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Flames | 28c | 2,199$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.79 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Red Wings | 62c | 2,156$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.3 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Flames | 19c | 2,103$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.87 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,904$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.52 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,674$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.1 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Red Wings | 80c | 1,625$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.03 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Red Wings | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,380$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Flames | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,249$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.04 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Red Wings | 72c | 1,236$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.99 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Flames | 6c | 1,200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Flames | 12c | 1,145$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.49 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Flames | 36c | 1,127$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 34c | 1,018$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Flames | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…28ddbacked Flames | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked Flames | 38c | 1,000$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…814fbacked Red Wings | 63c | 948$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.76 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Red Wings | 55c | 904.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.86 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 38c | 886.93$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.84 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Flames | 39c | 880$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.39 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Flames | 6c | 878.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Red Wings | 63c | 876.78$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.78 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Red Wings | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Red Wings | 61c | 799.93$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.97 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Flames | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Red Wings | 56c | 711.14$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 38c | 699.98$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…6dcfbacked Red Wings | 63c | 679$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.89 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44d8…4df8backed Red Wings | 62c | 652$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Red Wings | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Flames | 37c | 643.08$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Flames | 39c | 640$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…0c27backed Red Wings | 62c | 637.9$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Red Wings | 55c | 636.16$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.18 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Red Wings | 65c | 623.77$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.64 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Red Wings | 61c | 619$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.24 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Flames | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed6…ea9bbacked Red Wings | 63c | 564$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.68 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +41%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Red Wings | 70c | 548.6$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.3 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…316abacked Red Wings | 63c | 527.99$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Flames | 38c | 520.38$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.74 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Red Wings | 61c | 515.37$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Red Wings | 68c | 514.68$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda3…6482backed Red Wings | 62c | 513.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.13 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Red Wings | 62c | 510.25$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.89 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed Red Wings | 62c | 510$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 33c | 503.05$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.6 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Red Wings | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…cdb2backed Flames | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88eb…9394backed Flames | 38c | 500$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.31 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Flames | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Red Wings | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…abb0backed Red Wings | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Red Wings: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.