NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Wild
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82afc8ac228cc3cc32ed005be882db6193552f6df7d1ea0dac48d1e45cb56ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Wild
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $685,869 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 162,662$50,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,563.51 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 112,779$34,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,817.72 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 69c | 92,395$63,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,922.83 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Wild | 32c | 52,209$16,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,712.34 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 69c | 50,000$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,500 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 50,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,499.99 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Wild | 69c | 32,019$22,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,093 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Wild | 69c | 29,000$20,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,009.99 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Wild | 69c | 27,838$19,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,208.3 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Wild | 52c | 23,480$12,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,150.63 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Wild | 69c | 22,820$15,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,745.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Wild | 50c | 20,000$9,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,982.36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 19,406$8,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,350.59 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wild | 69c | 17,390$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,350 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 14,339$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,813.41 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Wild | 60c | 12,986$7,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,769.62 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Wild | 69c | 11,542$8,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,020.58 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Wild | 69c | 11,111$7,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,666.59 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 69c | 10,891$7,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,514.85 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 48c | 9,631$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.75 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…79f1backed Wild | 69c | 9,622$6,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Wild | 68c | 7,642$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.17 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Wild | 69c | 7,632$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,232.38 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 7,556$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.47 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 7,500$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,175 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 7,000$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.98 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Wild | 69c | 5,334$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680.17 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wild | 69c | 5,077$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Wild | 69c | 4,853$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wild | 70c | 4,639$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.36 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Wild | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Wild | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Wild | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Wild | 68c | 3,866$2,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wild | 69c | 3,833$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.77 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 3,801$2,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.8 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 3,671$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.72 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…f97ebacked Wild | 69c | 3,543$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 3,514$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.39 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 3,325$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.59 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 64c | 3,010$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.84 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 2,949$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.91 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Wild | 9c | 2,804$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 2,737$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.64 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Wild | 39c | 2,700$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Wild | 22c | 2,565$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.97 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Wild | 68c | 2,558$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.89 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Wild | 69c | 2,500$1,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wild | 69c | 2,457$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 30c | 2,370$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.96 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb83…df24backed Maple Leafs | 32c | 2,323$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,260$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.4 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,222$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.18 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wild | 13c | 2,219$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.63 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Wild | 69c | 2,151$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,097$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.76 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,090$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.98 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 2,011$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.98 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,733$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.29 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 73c | 1,720$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild | 18c | 1,669$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,605$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 50c | 1,574$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.08 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Wild | 70c | 1,571$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 554 | 46.4%257 W · 297 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wild | 69c | 1,543$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.67 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Wild | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Wild | 64c | 1,495$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.65 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 1,480$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.68 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,473$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.4 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Wild | 70c | 1,438$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Wild | 69c | 1,415$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.28 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 1,400$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.99 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Maple Leafs | 72c | 1,367$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.58 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Maple Leafs | 80c | 1,328$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 1,327$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 1,314$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.57 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…c5afbacked Wild | 70c | 1,298$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.49 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Wild | 69c | 1,288$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.06 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,227$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.77 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aed…58dabacked Maple Leafs | 32c | 1,222$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 50c | 1,165$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.68 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Wild | 23c | 1,068$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…4701backed Wild | 1c | 1,040$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 1,026$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.3 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Wild | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Wild | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Wild | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Wild | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 999.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ba…d462backed Wild | 17c | 976.9$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.55 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 73c | 975.86$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.63 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Wildthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.