NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe02f4fed115563475b72510841e645d35f44cad5571c619b8d7138f09d3556b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Wild, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $316,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 151,729$78,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,127.01 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Wild | 48c | 122,212$58,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,661.68 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Wild | 49c | 69,354$33,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,698.72 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 50,147$25,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,860.18 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Wild | 50c | 31,017$15,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,508.5 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,699.94 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Wild | 48c | 20,500$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,840 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 16,272$8,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,136 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Wild | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 9,502$4,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,655.98 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Wild | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Wild | 50c | 7,282$3,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.06 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 5,555$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.17 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,808$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.3 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,769$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wild | 49c | 1,706$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Wild | 49c | 1,447$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.03 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Wild | 48c | 1,278$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Wild | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f0…2faabacked Wild | 3c | 937.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 811$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.39 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 633.19$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.67 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 47c | 567.66$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Wild | 50c | 548.6$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wild | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 488$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.12 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Wild | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wild | 49c | 359.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 352.5$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.73 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 343.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.02 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 333$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Maple Leafs | 62c | 322.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wild | 40c | 251.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 243.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.45 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wild | 48c | 235$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Wild | 49c | 227.02$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Wild | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Wild | 48c | 212.85$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Wild | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…9ae9backed Wild | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 176.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 173.37$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Wild | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 135.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Wild | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Wild | 49c | 111.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Wild | 48c | 106$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wild | 13c | 105.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 104$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 137 | 58.4%80 W · 57 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wild | 47c | 102$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Wild | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 99.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 96.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Wild | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 432 | 56.5%244 W · 188 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Wild | 30c | 61.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wild | 36c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Wild | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 51.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…9664backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 50.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Wild | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeab…276fbacked Wild | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Wild | 47c | 43.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b1…18ffbacked Wild | 46c | 43.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Wild | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Wild | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked Wild | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wild | 48c | 39.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9f…3aeebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 37.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Wild | 49c | 37.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Wild | 48c | 37.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…28adbacked Wild | 48c | 31.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wild | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd827…fe79backed Wild | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7512…68dfbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 28.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 20.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…0e52backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Wild | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Maple Leafs vs. WildMaple Leafs won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 4.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Under won
- Maple Leafs vs. Wild: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.